UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 11, 2016 Author Share Posted February 11, 2016 Major rain storm for everyone here, far western and northern NY are the winners Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 GFS moves into the floodhugger strong onshore wind camp. Its finally respecting that huge high east of Newfoundland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 11, 2016 Author Share Posted February 11, 2016 Almost 3" of rain... Lmao can't make this up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 12z GFS has 3-5" of rain inland and 1-2" of rain for the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 11, 2016 Author Share Posted February 11, 2016 GGEM is digging much deeper south than GFS, these models are redic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keith O Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 12z GFS has 3-5" of rain inland and 1-2" of rain for the coast. Finally us inland folks Jackpot!!!! Oh wait it's a miserable cold rain... Least my car will get a good washing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 The biggest difference this run was the Northern stream. 12z 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 there's a 50/50 high instead of a 50/50 low... forget about this being wintry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Finally us inland folks Jackpot!!!! Oh wait it's a miserable cold rain... Least my car will get a good washing. The surface inland is right at 32. Verbatim you're a prolific sleet storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 11, 2016 Author Share Posted February 11, 2016 The surface inland is right at 32. Verbatim you're a prolific sleet storm. This is the 06z... 12z is nowhere near sleet for the interior Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 11, 2016 Author Share Posted February 11, 2016 GGEM tourches too, way too warm... No Bueno folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 This is the 06z... 12z is nowhere near sleet for the interior Yes you're right, thanks for picking that up. 50 degrees lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 GGEM tourches too, way too warm... No Bueno folks We only have 25 more GFS runs to go. It will be different next run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 11, 2016 Author Share Posted February 11, 2016 Yes you're right, thanks for picking that up. 50 degrees lol Still time, but I'm not comfortable with this event anymore Surface tourches 75 miles north of Albany lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bobby Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 I think the storm center goes in between KNYC and benchmark. Big storm for NW of big cities. Snow to Rain to Snow for NYC. 2-4" on front. Lots of rain and several inches on the back. I don't see a big negative tilt storm / inland runner here. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Nowhere close to the BM. Likely runs over NYC. No snow on the front or back end. Rain, and lots of it. 50/50 high keeps this all liquid. Which is fine for me. I've had enough snow the last 2 weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 This has actually gotten quite funny. You know funny in that way where you laugh hysterically because you're right at that point of being driven to the edge of insanity. Yes that kind of funny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 You guys should know by now that this will end up looking nothing like it does now by the time all is said and done. It's a statistical certainty. I don't care what amount of agreement you have right now, things will change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 This has actually gotten quite funny. You know funny in that way where you laugh hysterically because you're right at that point of being driven to the edge of insanity. Yes that kind of funny. I agree up to the edge of insanity point, its just weather to me these days. That said, I find it absolutely fascinating for our neck of the woods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 GEFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Rainstorm. Ugly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Rainstorm. Ugly.It's rain all the way up into Canada on the models. Every model and its ensembles are trending towards the Euro now. This is what happens when you don't have a -NAO or at least a 50/50 low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 GGEM tourches too, way too warm... No Bueno folks GGEM does show a quick thump of heavy snow Monday night, before it changes over to ice and then rain. I know the setup is bad, so it's likely that this is mostly a rainstorm. But with a good amount of leftover cold air from the weekend's arctic outbreak, it's hard to believe that this wouldn't start out as frozen Monday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Anyone looking at the high wind/wind damage and coastal flooding aspects of this storm? I'm at work and haven't checked anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 This is what happens when you don't have a -NAO or at least a 50/50 lowAnd an ao trending pos, and a pna trending neg, and a pos nao, and HP East of Newfoundland. I can actually see this ending up even farther West than current progs based on the teleconnections. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Game not over, but bell ringing has begun Sent from my SM-N910V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 And an ao trending pos, and a pna trending neg, and a pos nao, and HP East of Newfoundland. I can actually see this ending up even farther West than current progs based on the teleconnections.Yep, don't forget about the EPO going positive too. There was nothing good about this setup, right from the get go, you knew it was doomed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 GGEM tourches too, way too warm... No Bueno folksWhen I heard that for up here before? Sent from my SM-N910V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Yep, don't forget about the EPO going positive too. There was nothing good about this setup, right from the get go, you knew it was doomed.Im thinking some snow/mix to start for the big cities (DC-NYC) then relatively quickly over to plain rain. After the moderation next week, winter does return however. We aren't quite finished just yet imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stlirish Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Never a good sign with everything in agreement 5 days out Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Never a good sign with everything in agreement 5 days out Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Sadly, that never seems to the case with a snow storm. The models could agree five days out and change course within 36 hours. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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