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1/23-24 Randytastic Snowstorm Part 2 STORM MODE THREAD


BxEngine

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Getting closer to crunch time now. Although we arent expecting the totals that our neighbors to the southwest are, many in this forum have the potential to be impacted by a warning criteria snowfall. Because of the very sharp cutoff, some will be left high and dry.

To try to keep this thread informative and to avoid issues, we will treat it as a storm mode thread, even though the entire forum isnt in storm mode. The basic rules as posted by Randy in the MA thread:

Members,

Due to the high activity with the pending event, AmericanWx is entering in what is called Storm mode. Additional temporary moderators are added and the normal warn and suspend protocols are removed. Moderators will now have the power to automatically remove your posts and or suspend you without warning. Moderators will create ONE thread that you may mix banter and weather in. KEEP ALL BANTER in the banter thread ONLY, not this one. Please see below the new policies/rules that are put into affect under Storm Mode:

1. Cross thread trolling will not be permitted on the weather side. If you are in a region other than your own with the sole purpose of starting trouble, you will be suspended without question.

2. Model threads will be cleared of unrelated discussion, empty "smiley posts", "OMG!!" personal attacks, and analysis without any basis. Even the most basic and rudimentary analysis would be appreciated.

3. In model threads, repetitive questions such as “where is it going" "will it hit my house tomorrow at 11:04pm?…..” etc will be deleted.

4. Please respect the professionals that post here. They will make forecasts as they are comfortable but continued pestering or badgering of them with "where is the storm going, how are the winds for..?" will result in the quickest exit from this board. We will not be tolerant of abusive or trolling behavior.

5. If you post a forecast, please have some sound reasoning behind it. IMBY forecasts also known as wishcasts will likely end up in OT or deleted.

6. DO NOT link threads that have nothing to do with weather or weather forecasting from any other board. Do not link threads from other boards that contain cross feuding or dealing with personal issues.

Keep rooting for the north trend. And RJay would like to remind you all that the NAM isnt a real model.
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To UlsterCountySnow, the thread got locked when I tried to reply but there is a tight gradient on the GEFS through Rockland and Orange counties. It looks to be maybe under .5 up that way? Just read on twitter that the new Parallel Euro run is out and it's further south than the 12z operational was. I know you were asking about that model last night, so that's the latest update for that

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To UlsterCountySnow, the thread got locked when I tried to reply but there is a tight gradient on the GEFS through Rockland and Orange counties. It looks to be maybe under .5 up that way? Just read on twitter that the new Parallel Euro run is out and it's further south than the 12z operational was. I know you were asking about that model last night, so that's the latest update for that

Keep in mind, however, that the paraEuro is still a 12Z model.  As you get closer to the event, that starts to matter; the off hour runs are using fresher information. 

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