RedSky Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Yet another 96 repeat run this month and from the king no less, never seen anything like it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 17, 2016 Author Share Posted January 17, 2016 JMA fwiw: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 17, 2016 Author Share Posted January 17, 2016 Yet another 96 repeat run this month and from the king no less, never seen anything like it Is that sub 986 on the JMA. Dear Lord, what are we dealing with here?? Clearly mixing issues based on slp plot but still. At this range who cares, signal there for a beast! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Is that sub 986 on the JMA. Dear Lord, what are we dealing with here?? Clearly mixing issues based on slp plot but still. At this range who cares, signal there for a beast! Snowshoes and paralyzed metropolis that's crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Probably the nicest signal I've ever seen for a winter storm. Hope it stays. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 This warrants a Katodog alert hehe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 So great to see our Philly board springing back to life! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 17, 2016 Author Share Posted January 17, 2016 So great to see our Philly board springing back to life! ^^^ this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 So great to see our Philly board springing back to life! Indeed, now we have something to live for. I think we were just bummed out/depressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 18-22" in SEPA on the ECM snowmaps. JMA must have 3' lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 It would be pretty awesome if the next few days of tracking we just watch this low deepen over "our little jackpot!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Eurowx shows 24-30" snow. For some reason I can't copy the image like last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 17, 2016 Author Share Posted January 17, 2016 18-22" in SEPA on the ECM snowmaps. JMA must have 3' lol Crazy signal and more importantly, fair agreement among models! I really hate being ground zero at day 4-5....you just know this is going to shift and change somehow. It is inevitable. Not trying to be a wet blanket, but we all need to keep expectations low thru at LEAST 0Z Wednesday imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Crazy signal and more importantly, fair agreement among models! I really hate being ground zero at day 4-5....you just know this is going to shift and change somehow. It is inevitable. Not trying to be a wet blanket, but we all need to keep expectations low thru at LEAST 0Z Wednesday imo. Still 24hrs away from red alert mode. I like the ECM consistency now and the current system passing off the coast was well modeled from 5 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 17, 2016 Author Share Posted January 17, 2016 Still 24hrs away from red alert mode. I like the ECM consistency now and the current system passing off the coast was well modeled from 5 days out. You have the right approach. Steady as she goes! Fun times ahead! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Yes, there's a long ways to go. But sometimes ... sometimes ... the models like to pick up on the big dog a ways out. Let's hope that's what we're seeing here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 17, 2016 Author Share Posted January 17, 2016 Still 24hrs away from red alert mode. I like the ECM consistency now and the current system passing off the coast was well modeled from 5 days out. Do us all a favor though....PLEASE do not tune up, start, test out, or fill your new snowblower with gas until the first flakes fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Kind of like a golf tournament: can't win one on the first day of an even but you sure can lose it. Hard to remember the last time we had model agreement across the board. Any speculations: what problems would this storm have if it went further west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Trying again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Do us all a favor though....PLEASE do not tune up, start, test out, or fill your new snowblower with gas until the first flakes fall. Good you said that I was prepared to go to Tractor Supply to get some spare auger sheer bolts it's something I have put off for the last two months... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Kind of like a golf tournament: can't win one on the first day of an even but you sure can lose it. Hard to remember the last time we had model agreement across the board. Any speculations: what problems would this storm have if it went further west? Further west would cause mixing issues. Loving the agreement we have right now - hopefully we can get at least a solid 4-8 inch storm. And a huge hit would wipe away those bad December memories. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Kind of like a golf tournament: can't win one on the first day of an even but you sure can lose it. Hard to remember the last time we had model agreement across the board. Any speculations: what problems would this storm have if it went further west? I think chances of a track north is remote, mostly fear the more progressive south track taking the big hit to Va and Md Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Trying again. It isn't very often you see a paralyzing snowfall in Philly and Pittsburgh. Like how the models seem to be seeing it now, but man it is still a while out. Would be wonderful to see every run point this out for the next 4 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 I have to say, the support the Euro has from its ensembles is almost unprecedented at this range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 I have to say, the support the Euro has from its ensembles is almost unprecedented at this range Love it... Even getting the Boston posters back in here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Love it... Even getting the Boston posters back in here! I actually live in Philly, I go to school in Boston, so I get just as pumped when Philly's getting a storm as when I do up here haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Some EURO 12z amounts per WB ABE - 17"; KMQS - 20"/DYL 20"/HBG 19"/LNS 18"/MPO 17"/PHL 22"/PNE 22"/PTW 19"/QTN 19"/RDG 18"/WC 21"/THV 20"/ACY 16"/Ocean City NJ 8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 I actually live in Philly, I go to school in Boston, so I get just as pumped when Philly's getting a storm as when I do up here haha Got it... My daughter's the same way up at UNH! Best at school and with the snow both at home and away!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 I have to say, the support the Euro has from its ensembles is almost unprecedented at this range Tempering myself with the Euro.... Lest we forget what happened a year ago this month regarding the Euro. E.g., - http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/45530-dissecting-the-bust/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birdbean Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Tempering myself with the Euro.... Lest we forget what happened a year ago this month regarding the Euro. E.g., - http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/45530-dissecting-the-bust/Trying to keep myself calm as of now and not telling my wife or our German exchange student, who flipped out last week when we picked up that quick inch and she said " it takes all day to snow this much in Germany". We get that 18" that the Euro is calling for we will both be flipping out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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