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Final winter forecast/ideas/thoughts


deltadog03

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fyp

It is hard to get CAD to your location; but NE Ga can definitely benefit.  

 

Everything is a give and take. The same areas that get CADs can be also hurt by the mountains that support the CADs (..cold air slowed or stopped from crossing). Your area seems to get the quicker frontal passages and can also get snow showers/flurries; whereas our areas get shinook(ed).

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It is hard to get CAD to your location; but NE Ga can definitely benefit.

Everything is a give and take. The same areas that get CADs can be also hurt by the mountains that support the CADs (..cold air slowed or stopped from crossing). Your area seems to get the quicker frontal passages and can also get snow showers/flurries; whereas our areas get shinook(ed).

yeah ne GA for sure can get cad ( even the north and east burbs of ATL) but the majority of GA does not benefit from CAD.
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yeah ne GA for sure can get cad ( even the north and east burbs of ATL) but the majority of GA does not benefit from CAD.

Yes they can, the very strong one a few weeks ago went well in to AL and all the way down almost to Valdosta near the FL line, it is flat plains down there so really nothing to stop that kind of flow.

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Yes they can the very strong on a few weeks ago went well in to AL and all the way down almost to Valdosta near the FL line, it is flat plains down there so really nothing to stop that kind of flow.

Your wasting your time trying to explain this to him. He obviously doesn't read the board much or he would of already known the answer to his question on why this will be a better winter than last year.

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Thanks everyone!  Yes...the CAD *IMHO* is one of the BIGGEST drivers of wx in GA.  

Good luck to us Chris!  It's about time you and me, and El K and Shack got in on the fun :)  I'm still losing limbs from the last two years zr storms, such as they were.  I'm ready for the big sleets I've seen here in good  years, and you can have the zr, lol.  Some snow to Perry wouldn't be amiss either :)  Cads all the way to Dothan is fine by me! Those deep into Ala. been rare lately. Tony

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Thanks everyone!  Yes...the CAD *IMHO* is one of the BIGGEST drivers of wx in GA.  

Looks awesome, Chris. I always appreciate your time, effort and enthusiasm! I always love to watch your videos about potential systems. You're definitely the guy to watch, IMO. I think we're overdue for a far reaching CAD winter storm that extends well down into middle GA and east AL, one that is cold enough to where it's not just freezing rain in NE GA but sleet and snow too. We haven't had one of those if I remember correctly since January 2005 maybe? Refridgerating the NE and SE Canada with snow and putting a strong damming high in place sounds heavenly!

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Yes they can, the very strong one a few weeks ago went well in to AL and all the way down almost to Valdosta near the FL line, it is flat plains down there so really nothing to stop that kind of flow.

As far as "benefiting" from CAD, I think he means it producing winter precip, in which he's right; alot of times his far W location in GA is too far for the freezing temps to wedge to. Not always though.

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  • 3 weeks later...

I did one last update.  Sorry, I tried to do this last week and didn't have the time.  I really think we are in for a great winter.  We are obviously starting very late, but I really think that JFM will be rocking and would rather have a warm ND  (again, just my OP)  Also, I did a Facebook LIVE video update with this and some good questions came up.  Its 20 mins long so please watch if you have time, if not I fully understand and here is the images on there.  Link to my FB page below...Like if you want.  Thanks! 

https://www.facebook.com/ChriswxmanSimmons/

https://twitter.com/wxmanchris

 

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I did one last update.  Sorry, I tried to do this last week and didn't have the time.  I really think we are in for a great winter.  We are obviously starting very late, but I really think that JFM will be rocking and would rather have a warm ND  (again, just my OP)  Also, I did a Facebook LIVE video update with this and some good questions came up.  Its 20 mins long so please watch if you have time, if not I fully understand and here is the images on there.  Link to my FB page below...Like if you want.  Thanks! 

https://www.facebook.com/ChriswxmanSimmons/

https://twitter.com/wxm

Just watched your video, Very good Discussion enjoyed it! And I think you are on the right track. Dec.is not  and never has been a snow month in the SE. Just a few exceptions!!! 

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I thought I remember in the fall , it was said/ forecasted ,that the southern jet was going to be raging and keep the rain in Southern California , and leave the northern part and PAC NW dry!? It seems like the PAC NW and N Cal, have been the bullseye, most of the fall/ early winter!? Thoughts?

Yes, that is what we all heard again and again.  And also it was going to torch the Pac NW, and the SE would be cooler than normal,,lol.

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I know this DEC has been awful...I get it, but the pattern is maturing nicely IMHO.  The Pac NW will stop getting rich with snow and rain at some point once the pattern gets where its going.  However, this should prove that NINO or NINA doesn't dominate the pattern all the time like some people believe.

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