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September 2015 Observation Thread


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They done stole our 20% chance of isolated showers/storms, and cranked up the September heat :(

IN ADDITION TO THE ABSENCE OF ANY DYNAMIC FEATURES TO FORCE ASCENT... WE'RE ALSO LACKING MOISTURE AS PW VALUES ARE HOLDING NEAR OR BELOW NORMAL. WILL TRIM BACK EXISTING ISOLATED POPS IN THE ERN CWA BUT WILL NEED TO RETAIN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE EXTREME SRN/SE CWA WHERE HEATING AND DEWPOINTS WILL BE LOCALLY GREATER NEAR THE WEAK TROUGH... AS SUGGESTED BY THE NSSL WRF AND HRRR. WE SHOULD SEE DECENT HEATING TODAY OUTSIDE OF THE LIMITATIONS CAUSED BY THE NOW-DISSIPATING FOG/STRATUS AND THIS AFTERNOON'S DIURNAL FLAT CUMULUS... AND WITH MORNING THICKNESSES AT LEAST 5-10 M ABOVE NORMAL... EXPECT HIGHS TO BE AROUND A CATEGORY ABOVE NORMAL... IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S... NECESSITATING AN UPWARD NUDGE OF PERHAPS A DEGREE OR TWO TO FORECAST HIGHS. -GIH
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Yeah, a wedge this weekend! Bet that will be a DROUGHTBUSTER of a drizzle storm! Hit 94 today! Happy fall! Backdoor fronts always bring a ton of rain! Whoever was dumb enough to plant a fall vegetable crop, I have no sympathy! By the time the rains kick in from El Niño , crops will be dead by then without supplemental, daily waterings!

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