dmillz25 Posted June 26, 2015 Share Posted June 26, 2015 July is a couple days away. July 4th weekend so far is looking like temperatures in the 80s and rain free according to Sacrus. Discuss away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted June 26, 2015 Share Posted June 26, 2015 That would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 30, 2015 Author Share Posted June 30, 2015 I don't know why warlock started a july discussion thread when there is already one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted June 30, 2015 Share Posted June 30, 2015 Thank God for this. Life saver. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted June 30, 2015 Share Posted June 30, 2015 Because I didnt see it...sorry Lets hope the heat is coming. I like hot ends to Julys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 30, 2015 Author Share Posted June 30, 2015 Because I didnt see it...sorry Lets hope the heat is coming. I like hot ends to Julys Its cool. Yeah I dont mind a beach day or 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted June 30, 2015 Share Posted June 30, 2015 Long range guidance continues the June comfortable temperature developing Nino pattern right into July. This is looking like the second July in a row absent the magnitude of heat that was experienced from 2010-2013. July is actually starting out cooler than last year which reached 95 and 96 on the 1st and 2nd at Newark. CFSv2.NaT2m.20150629.201507.gif Last July had five 90+days thru the 9th already here , but cooled off considerably thereafter to finish at -0.8 degrees temp wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted June 30, 2015 Share Posted June 30, 2015 Long range guidance continues the June comfortable temperature developing Nino pattern right into July. This is looking like the second July in a row absent the magnitude of major heat that was experienced from 2010-2013. July is actually starting out cooler than last year which reached 95 and 96 on the 1st and 2nd at Newark. July Newark temperature departures 2010-2014 and maximum temperature .............TD....TMAX 2014....-0.4...96 2013...+3.5...101 2012...+3.4...104 2011...+5.5...108 2010...+5.1...103 CFSv2.NaT2m.20150629.201507.gif Not major heat. But the Euro weeklies last night showed weaker troughiness and some above normal 850mb temperatures over the Northeast for last two weeks of July. Strong Southwest US Ridge, could create a gradient for NW flow/EML advection events, later in the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted June 30, 2015 Share Posted June 30, 2015 I guess we'll have to wait and see what things look like after this near record early July MJO pulse. ECMF_phase_MANOM_51m_full.gif Yeah. Current forecasts indicate the MJO wave weakening near the dateline, later in the month: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 30, 2015 Share Posted June 30, 2015 I guess we'll have to wait and see what things look like after this near record early July MJO pulse. ECMF_phase_MANOM_51m_full.gif I've never see an MJO spike like that before. And then it collapses... Unreal. I think that phase also argues for cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 1, 2015 Author Share Posted July 1, 2015 Well hopefully we clear out quick and get rolling again in the afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 1, 2015 Author Share Posted July 1, 2015 What are the short range models showing for today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 1, 2015 Share Posted July 1, 2015 Picked up 0.67" since midnight to start off July with a bang. Fell in a very short time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 1, 2015 Share Posted July 1, 2015 What are the short range models showing for today? Should be rain free the rest of the day outside of a widely scattered or isolated shower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 1, 2015 Share Posted July 1, 2015 Looks like we are now fairly dry through the weekend which would be nice. Seasonable to slightly below averages temp wise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 1, 2015 Share Posted July 1, 2015 Looks like we are now fairly dry through the weekend which would be nice. Seasonable to slightly below averages temp wise You just never really know this time of year. I highly doubt the people in E PA and Orange County were expecting all that severe and heavy rain yesterday. And I highly doubt many here expected that elevated MCS to cross the area last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 1, 2015 Share Posted July 1, 2015 the hrrr nailed last night's mcs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 1, 2015 Share Posted July 1, 2015 the hrrr nailed last night's mcs Blind squirrel finds nut. That model has been terrible on T-storms the last few weeks. It's often overdone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted July 1, 2015 Share Posted July 1, 2015 UPTON .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...UPPER TROUGH PIVOTS THROUGH THE REGION LATER THIS MORNING THROUGHMID AFTERNOON.AT THE SURFACE...A WARM FRONT/WEAK WAVE...HAS PUSHED NE OF THEREGION THIS MORNING. THIS HAS TAKEN THE QLCS WITH HEAVY RAIN ANDSTRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE REGION ASWELL.IN ITS WAKE...BEST LLJ/MOISTURE AXIS IS SLIDING EAST OF THEREGION. SO UNCERTAINTY FOR LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON CONVECTIONIN TERMS OF AMOUNT OF DESTABILIZATION BEFORE SHORTWAVE PASSAGE.ISO-SCT CONVECTION POSSIBLE AHEAD OF COLD FRONT ACROSSNORTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE REGION...AND ALONG ANY THERMAL ORLINGERING PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH IN VICINITY OF NYC/NJ METRO ANDPOINTS N AND NE THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. IF CONVECTION CANDEVELOP...IT HAS POTENTIAL TO BE SEVERE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 1, 2015 Share Posted July 1, 2015 NAM and RGEM both have some widely scattered activity this afternoon and evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 1, 2015 Author Share Posted July 1, 2015 Last night's MCS just scraped my area heavy rain and winds but minimal thunder and lightning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted July 1, 2015 Share Posted July 1, 2015 London broke a July record today. 98f Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 1, 2015 Share Posted July 1, 2015 smoke from canadian wildfires has wrapped all the way into last night's system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted July 1, 2015 Share Posted July 1, 2015 London broke a July record today. 98fWow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 1, 2015 Share Posted July 1, 2015 smoke from canadian wildfires has wrapped all the way into last night's system I knew I smelled that!!! Reminds me of being out west very distinct smell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted July 1, 2015 Share Posted July 1, 2015 London broke a July record today. 98f Wow. Meanwhile I haven't gone beyond 89F, I feel cheated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Will - Rutgers Posted July 1, 2015 Share Posted July 1, 2015 That storm early this morning was pretty wicked. Nearly constant lightning here in Hunterdon County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted July 1, 2015 Share Posted July 1, 2015 High so far today is only 82 at central park. Really pleasant days. No heat on the horizon. Let's hope it stays this way. Amazing turnaround from May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 2, 2015 Share Posted July 2, 2015 Where is the heat and the muggies? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted July 2, 2015 Share Posted July 2, 2015 Where is the heat and the muggies?Sent it to Europe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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