Texas/New Mexico/Louisiana/Mexico Obs And Discussion Thread Part 7

[cstrunk]

The cooler temperatures are a nice change. It has sprinkled IMBY and there are some other thunder showers in the area but nothing substantial yet. Come on, downpour!

 

*Edit- The line intensified a bit overhead and I got a solid shower out of it. Still might pick up a bit more before this round moves through. I'd guess maybe 0.3"-0.4" rain so far. Much needed.

[DoctorMu]

Outflow boundaries set to collide just south of Waco along the front.   

 

Imminent showers south of CLL never materialized in the area.  With timing of the front passing through CLL late tonight when air is more stable, am concerned T-shower development and rain may be sparse despite the promising PWs.  

[DoctorMu]

Buckets of rain in HOU all the way up to Navasota.  The AggieDome is holding strong while an outflow boundaries undercuts the front; related rain sagging S from Waco.  Don't want to run the sprinklers again.  

[jm1220]

Rain!! Yeee-ha!!

[jm1220]

Reporting station on the SE side of Downtown Austin has 2.61" of rain so far since midnight.

[bubba hotep]

DFW might have tied the record low high for today at 73, we will have to wait and see if it holds on:

 

DALLAS FORT WORTH Aug 20 Climate: Hi: 73 Lo: 65 Precip: 0.4

[cstrunk]

The high in Tyler so far today was 72 degrees. Unbelievable. I loved it. I think I ended up with about an inch of total rainfall over the last two days as well.

[cstrunk]

Woke up to the sweet, sweet sound of a heavy SVR-warned thunderstorm moving right through my backyard! Getting dumped on.

[aggiegeog]

Woke up to the sweet, sweet sound of a heavy SVR-warned thunderstorm moving right through my backyard! Getting dumped on.

Yep, we got a good dose of rain and thunder here.

[jm1220]

Nice anvils from the storms over Killeen/Fort Hood moving SW appearing in the northern sky now. Hopefully those make it down this way. It's beyond parched in most of this area.

[bubba hotep]

Woke up to the sweet, sweet sound of a heavy SVR-warned thunderstorm moving right through my backyard! Getting dumped on.

 

Nice! We got hail and about 1.5" of rain yesterday afternoon and there was an awesome light show off to our east this morning while I was out running. I was hoping that the storm would clip us and give me an excuse to ditch my run

[cstrunk]

Nice! We got hail and about 1.5" of rain yesterday afternoon and there was an awesome light show off to our east this morning while I was out running. I was hoping that the storm would clip us and give me an excuse to ditch my run

 

I think we ended up with 0.75"-1" of rain. It was a nice soaker. There were several reports of downed trees in the area but I don't think there were any severe gusts at my house.

 

I'm looking forward to the low 90's this week instead of the low 100's! No more rain in the forecast for another week or so. I'm glad we got what we did.

[bubba hotep]

Pretty blah summer, only 13 100 degree days, not terribly warm or dry 

 

[Quincy]

Extreme drought conditions showing up now in east-central Texas with today's Drought Monitor update. From drought to excessive rainfall, back to drought in some portions of Texas?

[jm1220]

Extreme drought conditions showing up now in east-central Texas with today's Drought Monitor update. From drought to excessive rainfall, back to drought in some portions of Texas?

20150901_tx_none.png

I had close to 20" of rain in May and plenty in June, but since then I've seen a couple of showers and that's it. The sun is ridiculously strong in the summer here (stronger than Long Island, that's for sure), and the ground's as dry as a bone now. Luckily Lake Travis hasn't dropped by that much this summer:

 

http://www.golaketravis.com/waterlevel/

 

But just looking at the grounds around Austin, I can definitely see the upgrade to borderline severe drought. We also have wildfire alerts now too.

[DoctorMu]

I had close to 20" of rain in May and plenty in June, but since then I've seen a couple of showers and that's it. The sun is ridiculously strong in the summer here (stronger than Long Island, that's for sure), and the ground's as dry as a bone now. Luckily Lake Travis hasn't dropped by that much this summer:

 

http://www.golaketravis.com/waterlevel/

 

But just looking at the grounds around Austin, I can definitely see the upgrade to borderline severe drought. We also have wildfire alerts now too.

 

IMBY we've had about 0.3 in since July 4th.  A number of narrow misses but we are parched.  Groundwater is nearly gone.

 

Showers to the W and S right now. 

[Quixotic1]

Haven't seen a thing since Bill.

[DoctorMu]

0.72 in IMBY with onshore flow and weaker ridge - first rain accumulation of more than 0.1 in since July 1.

[Quixotic1]

We got a shower at the pool today! Damn I'm excited!

[jm1220]

IMBY we've had about 0.3 in since July 4th.  A number of narrow misses but we are parched.  Groundwater is nearly gone.

 

Showers to the W and S right now. 

Had a shower this morning that lasted literally about 30 seconds. Then the sun came out and we rocketed to 101 for the high. Even now the air feels like the inside of an oven. I've learned quickly to despise Texas summers. 

[cstrunk]

Had a shower this morning that lasted literally about 30 seconds. Then the sun came out and we rocketed to 101 for the high. Even now the air feels like the inside of an oven. I've learned quickly to despise Texas summers. 

 

I agree that the unending heat gets old, but luckily most people have A/C! It's also great if you have friends with boats and a nearby lake. You'll love the mild winter, save for missing snowstorms every once in a while!

 

It looks like relief is on the way later this week, with a cold front and increased rain chances.

[bubba hotep]

12z Euro is kind of interesting down in the Gulf just off the Texas coast next week but nothing like the 12z Canadian! 

[DoctorMu]

12z Euro is kind of interesting down in the Gulf just off the Texas coast next week but nothing like the 12z Canadian! 

 

Brings a low up from Brownsville along the coast towards La. It should be an interesting week with a front sagging South.

[bubba hotep]

Brings a low up from Brownsville along the coast towards La. It should be an interesting week with a front sagging South.

 

18z GFS trended that way but was farther west keeping everything over land. This might be for real. 

[bubba hotep]

Extreme drought conditions showing up now in east-central Texas with today's Drought Monitor update. From drought to excessive rainfall, back to drought in some portions of Texas?

20150901_tx_none.png

 

The models seem to think that this will be busted over the next 10 days, possibly with a tropical system. Looks like there could be a lot of rain for areas of E. Texas and W. Louisiana. 

[cstrunk]

I sure hope we can get at least an inch out of this system coming through tonight through Friday. The radar looks nice in Oklahoma, and that is heading south. If nothing else it will be nice to have highs in the 80's instead of 90's for a few days after the front comes through.

[bubba hotep]

Looks like some really nice rain totals across the DFW area this morning!

 

NWS Fort Worth ‏@NWSFortWorth  4m4 minutes ago

DFW has broken an over 100 year record rainfall already today, with more rain possible. Old record 1.05"/1913, currently 1.65"

[wxmx]

This will be a bit earlier than normal cold front, at least here, and as far south as the SW GoM (though, in a Niño year, this is a bit expected). We will have to monitor any tropical mischief at it's tail end when it becomes stationary and interacts with a TW and the trough associated to the cold front provides strong ventilation (and shear, at least in the beginning).

[aggiegeog]

The north half of Texas could see Highs in the 70s with sun this weekend and maybe some sub 55 lows.

[DoctorMu]

Relief is on its way to Austin.  The AggieDome may hold for the days, but expect showers to overrun us tomorrow.

 

As WxMx outlined the front could be the recipe for tropical gumbo down towards Campeche during the weekend.