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Winter Med Range Discussion days 3-10 pbp II


buckeyefan1

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This looks for central NC and points north if we can get some precipitation in here to coincide with the temps, yes?   Blacksburg Technical Discussion this morning hints at this potential.  

 

I think IF we get snow in the SE before March, it will be a surprise event -- on that is unfolding as it occurs or without more than  1 - 2 days notice.

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GFS is too warm for 2/4. Got an Apps runner...but there is energy on it's heels and cold air is pressing down.

I don't have surface temps / dew points but 850s are right along the NC/VA boarder.

 

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?image=data%2Fgfs%2F12%2Fgfs_namer_111_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif&model=gfs&area=namer&storm=&cycle=12&param=850_temp_mslp_precip&fhr=111&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20150128+12+UTC&ps=model&use_mins=no&scrollx=0&scrolly=0

 

*but don't see much of a CAD signature..

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