Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,502
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Weathernoob335
    Newest Member
    Weathernoob335
    Joined

1/25-1/27 Mauler Thread #2


DDweatherman

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 1k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Is there really a concern over temps? We saw rain depicted on some of the models earlier but the soundings said otherwise. Given the setup it'd seem that we wouldn't lose much qpf, but if we torch tomorrow I suppose that's an area of concern.

 

Do you remember where you live? It's safe to say temps are always something to be concerned about.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Is there really a concern over temps? We saw rain depicted on some of the models earlier but the soundings said otherwise. Given the setup it'd seem that we wouldn't lose much qpf, but if we torch tomorrow I suppose that's an area of concern.

Probably overplayed esp if the event is good.. tho it will be warm tomorrow so that doesn't help.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Fwiw, I'm not as concerned about the earth at onset cutting in. Maybe on the roads but that's about it. The column is easily suffering down to 900-925 at onset and with caa aloft and the onset of precipitation, I would expect the changeover to come quick.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

RGEM tracks the first low from central ky into northern wv before giving way to the coastal. It never passes below us so return flow brings up the warmth. Dryslot as well. 

 

Sounds kinda like a Miller B screw job. We need that initial push to be strong. So we can bank all of the precip up front.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...