famartin Posted January 1, 2015 Share Posted January 1, 2015 Very cold with 850s down near or below -10C so could be very fluffy if the lift is right. Assuming there's enough moisture could be a couple inches... or a dusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 1, 2015 Share Posted January 1, 2015 Very cold with 850s down near or below -10C so could be very fluffy if the lift is right. Assuming there's enough moisture could be a couple inches... or a dusting. Anything!! We are like hungry birds waiting in the nest for Mommy Bird to feed us!!...Yes watching that clipper looks like 0.04 for us here in Media, Pa Delaware County on the GFS.... Hey I will take a Flizzard and a dusting of snow at this point. It looks ugly after that wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted January 1, 2015 Share Posted January 1, 2015 "Ugly" as in dry and cold or hot and wet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchell Gaines Posted January 1, 2015 Share Posted January 1, 2015 Really concerned about this being moisture starved. Jackpot on the EC was from Chicago to Cleveland with about .15 qpf. Then it dries up east of the apps. Models are more consistent with this feature today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 1, 2015 Author Share Posted January 1, 2015 Possible. And certainly not unprecedented. Hence the mention of a dusting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 1, 2015 Share Posted January 1, 2015 "Ugly" as in dry and cold or hot and wet? doing this on my phone looks like cold dry a few days (4 or so) then warm wet then back to some semblance of normal temps in other words more of the same a storm comes it warms and rains typical when you have above normal ocean temps along Atlantic coast and predominant +NAO with no blocking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Hopefully the PV can flex it's muscle so the clipper can pass to our south. Most of what ive seen (and I havent looked at all guidance) has it passing by to the north. I remember reading that the best clipper snows occur 75-100 miles to the north of the slp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Hopefully the PV can flex it's muscle so the clipper can pass to our south. Most of what ive seen (and I havent looked at all guidance) has it passing by to the north. AmeI remember reading that the best. clipper snows occur 75-100 miles to the north of the slp. Amen to this right on most lift and injection of moisture over cold air all levels Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchell Gaines Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Hopefully the PV can flex it's muscle so the clipper can pass to our south. Most of what ive seen (and I havent looked at all guidance) has it passing by to the north. I remember reading that the best clipper snows occur 75-100 miles to the north of the slp. That is right. Though the further south it tracks the weaker it is, 00z CMC just has flurries with it, track to our south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchell Gaines Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Dewpoints ahead of the clipper, yikes. Tracking even further north on this GFS run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 GFS is a full blown flizzard for most North of the m-d line: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 2, 2015 Author Share Posted January 2, 2015 I feel a little like Charlie Brown when he tries to decorate his Christmas tree... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q8lFxbb6n5w Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Maybe not....models trend this afternoon/evening is slightly encouraging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 0z GFS is south for the clipper! 1-2" for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Couple inches of snow followed by deep cold. Let's do this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Couple inches of snow followed by deep cold. Let's do this ...and windy Wed-Thurs as well. May be the highlight of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 This threat has legs....put me down for some flizzard and light snow action! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 I feel a little like Charlie Brown when he tries to decorate his Christmas tree... Nah we got this....keep the faith, Ray! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 GGEM would be a flizzard and light snow! Definite shift South on guidance today: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 NAVGEM is looking good: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Hopefully the Appalachian Mountains don't eat the moisture up. Seen that happen when these transfer Southeast near the coast. Someone usually gets screwed. I think more get in on the flizzard activity tho rather than not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Euro is in: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Old GFS north at 12z makes it a north of I78 event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Para GFS rather dry .5" snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 We'll be lucky to see a dusting in central jersey. Then cold and dry for a week followed by a January thaw. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Redmorninglight Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 What this clipper should serve to do is whiten the ground over the areas to our north and west so the arctic air behind it doesn't lose too much punch. I doubt people below 95 see accums but at least we will get a taste of some real winter cold before the thaw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 3, 2015 Author Share Posted January 3, 2015 Euro doesn't look horrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Euro doesn't look horrible. Yeah sorta throws a bone with .2" I78 north, with good ratios that could muster 3" northern folks and 1-2" southern crowd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 So it probably doesn't really matter since the models are relatively similar for this event, but doesn't the GFS normally do better with NS systems? (Meaning the "old" GFS in this case). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 Pretty solid agreement as of now, GFS being the weakest, looks like a 1-3" event for N&W with ratios Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.