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Early Season Storm NOV 14-16


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I'm just gonna wait until this gets under 4 days before taking it seriously but could be legit for areas well inland. If it does bomb out like the parallel Gfs then even the coast would end as some snow next Saturday.

Let the colder air get here before we start even remotely discussing snow chances.

 Speaking of Cold, just went to 31.8 here in west chester. 

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I'm just gonna wait until this gets under 4 days before taking it seriously but could be legit for areas well inland. If it does bomb out like the parallel Gfs then even the coast would end as some snow next Saturday.

Let the colder air get here before we start even remotely discussing snow chances.

I beg to differ. If the Parallel GFS is right which is unlikely, this would be a full blown nor'easter with heavy snow even for NYC. Just cold enough for snow. I have two words for you "dynamic cooling" would take effect! Resulting heavy snow and dropping temperatures below freezing especially if it comes in next Friday night!
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I don't see the support for a coastal storm bombing close by. I don't see how this won't end up weaker and well offshore right now.

Perhaps the more legit threat is the one after it although early signs show it could be too warm if not cut a bit inland.

At this stage any prediction is really pure speculation unless someone here has a crystal ball they are using that can see what exactly happens next weekend

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:facepalm: let's get within 120 hours before a thread in the future please. It got so bad last winter that the mods starting locking threads like this until we got closer.

Yeah I would not be over enthusiastic about this outside of the higher elevations and usual money locations, especially in Mid November. You end up just draining yourself in the long-haul and wasting time watching fantasy runs.

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:facepalm: let's get within 120 hours before a thread in the future please. It got so bad last winter that the mods starting locking threads like this until we got closer.

Agreed, outside of 6 days this can be discussed in the monthly discussion thread. Once inside of D-5 then you could start a thread regarding a potential threat. Had this been created monday it would've been fine but friday? For next saturday? Wayyyy too soon
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Yeah I would not be over enthusiastic about this outside of the higher elevations and usual money locations, especially in Mid November. You end up just draining yourself in the long-haul and wasting time watching fantasy runs.

Of course you will always be on the right side saying no stormstorm in the middle of november.   But the setup is very promising, so it isn't as if the suggestion is totally off the wall.   That is a legitimate cold air mass for this time of the year, and some signs of blocking.   Still a long way to go, but I can see why this time period has piqued people's interest.

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Of course you will always be on the right side saying no stormstorm in the middle of november.   But the setup is very promising, so it isn't as if the suggestion is totally off the wall.   That is a legitimate cold air mass for this time of the year, and some signs of blocking.   Still a long way to go, but I can see why this time period has piqued people's interest.

Not relevant really but it don't matter down here, it's so rare that I know it won't happen in my backyard. We need more than the -EPO. It's just run-of-mill cold, the meat of the polar air has remained in the medium to long range.

 

Over the years, i've noticed how fast things can flip. Just like in 2011 people were freaking out over the Halloween snowstorm.

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Not relevant really but it don't matter down here, it's so rare that I know it won't happen in my backyard. We need more than the -EPO. It's just run-of-mill cold, the meat of the polar air has remained in the medium to long range.

 

Over the years, i've noticed how fast things can flip. Just like in 2011 people were freaking out over the Halloween snowstorm.

Cape May is rough for snow for the most part, i'm not going to deny that (although not last year if memory serves me correct).   I can't agree that the upcoming cold is run of the mill for this time of the year, 15/20 degrees below normal for this time of year is significant.    Also, while anything can happen, this is a very different situation and a much more promising setup as we head into winter.

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