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Can anyone given me a good explanation of why we are seeing the current wet weather pattern ending in the middle of the country...at the same time that the MJO is about to enter phase 1 and stay there  for as much as 10 days (with good amplitude much of the time)...when there is a strong correlation for wet weather in the middle of the country in October when the MJO is in phase 1?

 

Is there a chance that we will ultimately see the models be wrong...and instead see the great, all-powerful, all-knowing MJO put the middle of the country back into wet weather???

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