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October 2014


Rtd208

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October records and averages from NYC...


decade....Ave.......high..low......Ave.max/min...max...min......Rainfall
1870's.....55.5.......60.3....50.6.........................................3.55"
1880's.....53.9.......58.8....48.6......77.0...34.1......87...29......3.17"
1890's.....55.5.......59.5....52.5......77.4...37.3......87...34......3.59"
1900's.....57.2.......61.3....52.7......77.1...37.5......82...32......4.39"
1910's.....57.9.......59.4....53.0......80.1...37.1......87...32......4.41"
1920's.....56.8.......61.1....50.6......81.4...35.3......90...29......3.39"
1930's.....57.4.......61.3....54.5......81.2...36.3......91...28......3.22"
1940's.....58.7.......63.6....53.8......84.9...37.8......94...30......2.42"
1950's.....58.6.......61.7....55.5......83.6...38.0......88...33......3.68"
1960's.....58.2.......61.8....55.0......82.2...35.3......86...31......2.45"
1970's.....56.9.......62.7....52.9......78.1...35.7......88...29......3.88"
1980's.....57.0.......61.8....52.8......78.5...37.2......84...31......4.01"
1990's.....57.7.......61.9....54.5......79.1...38.8......86...34......3.85"
2000's.....57.0.......63.6....55.0......79.1...38.1......87...36......5.23"

2010's.....58.4.......60.2....57.1......80.8...38.3......86...33......3.57"

1870---
2009.......56.8............................80.0...36.8.....................3.66"
1980---
2009.......57.2............................78.9...38.0.....................4.36"

Warmest...
63.6 in 1947
63.6 in 2007
63.1 in 1949
62.7 in 1971
61.9 in 1990
Coolest...
48.6 in 1888
49.7 in 1889
50.6 in 1925
50.6 in 1876
50.9 in 1869
wettest"...
16.73 in 2005
13.31 in 1903
12.97 in 1913
09.00 in 1927
08.63 in 1983
driest...
0.14 in 1963
0.28 in 1924

0.36 in 2013
0.43 in 1879
0.59 in 1892
0.66 in 2001
0.66 in 1909
Snowiest"...
2.9 in 2011
0.8 in 1925
0.5 in 1876
0.5 in 1952
Hottest max..
94 in 1941 10/5
91 in 1939 10/10
90 in 1927 10/2
90 in 1941 10/6
90 in 1938 10/17
89 in 1922 10/5
Coolest monthly max...
66 in 1888
70 in 1894
70 in 1895
70 in 1977
71 in 1981
Coldest min...
28 in 1936 10/27
29 in 1879 10/25
29 in 1976 10/27
29 in 1976 10/28
29 in 1925 10/31
29 in 1887 10/30

30 in 1879 10/26

30 in 1940 10/19

30 in 1940 10/22

31 in 1871 10/21

31 in 1925 10/29

31 in 1925 10/30

31 in 1936 10/26

31 in 1969 10/24

31 in 1974 10/20

31 in 1975 10/31

31 in 1988 10/31

32 in 1887 10/31

32 in 1876 10/15

32 in 1889 10/24

32 in 1904 10/31

32 in 1917 10/31

32 in 1928 10/30

32 in 1933 10/26

32 in 1933 10/29

32 in 1965 10/29

32 in 1969 10/23

32 in 1972 10/20

32 in 1974 10/19

32 in 1974 10/21

number of 32 or lower minimum...

1925...3

1974...3

1879...2

1887...2

1933...2

1936...2

1940...2

1969...2

1976...2
warmest monthly min...
45 in 1946
45 in 1971
44 in 2004
43 in 1994
43 in 1927

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Going to swing for the fences.

 

First ten days, below normal temperatures and above average rainfall

Middle ten days, Above average temps and average rainfall

Last ten days, Below average temps, major noreaster with abundent rainfall and significant snows for interior PA/NY and NNE.

 

KNYC

 

Overall Temperature departure +1.5C

Overall Precipitation departure +3.75"

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Going to swing for the fences.

First ten days, below normal temperatures and above average rainfall

Middle ten days, Above average temps and average rainfall

Last ten days, Below average temps, major noreaster with abundent rainfall and significant snows for interior PA/NY and NNE.

KNYC

Overall Temperature departure +1.5C

Overall Precipitation departure +3.75"

Did you mean -1.5? You have 2/3 of the month below average

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Going to swing for the fences.

 

First ten days, below normal temperatures and above average rainfall

Middle ten days, Above average temps and average rainfall

Last ten days, Below average temps, major noreaster with abundent rainfall and significant snows for interior PA/NY and NNE.

 

KNYC

 

Overall Temperature departure +1.5C

Overall Precipitation departure +3.75"

 

 

No, I think the first ten days are going to be well above normal to the point where the rest of the month won't be enough for a negative departure.

 

Hmmm

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Going to swing for the fences.

 

 

Last ten days, Below average temps, major noreaster with abundent rainfall and significant snows for interior PA/NY and NNE.

 

 

 

Anything is possible; and in fairness, the last few years have had some anomalously early snowstorms over the interior...but you get into this business, you play the odds...and I think significant snowfall  in places like Binghamton, Bradford, the Adirondacks, the hills of New England, & Garrett County Maryland holds off until November...at the earliest.

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Anything is possible; and in fairness, the last few years have had some anomalously early snowstorms over the interior...but you get into this business, you play the odds...and I think significant snowfall  in places like Binghamton, Bradford, the Adirondacks, the hills of New England, & Garrett County Maryland holds off until November...at the earliest.

Anything is possible if you're talking about a deepening system in late October with strong dynamics.

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GEFS going for lowest AO readings since January.

 

2014 1 18 -2.255

2014 1 19 -2.426

2014 1 20 -2.227

2014 1 21 -1.843

2014 1 22 -1.263

2014 1 23 -0.774

2014 1 24 0.276

2014 1 25 0.133

2014 1 26 -1.432

2014 1 27 -2.605

2014 1 28 -2.408

 

attachicon.gifao.sprd2.gif

 

Does that bold well for our blocking over Greenland during the month of October?

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It's starting to look better and better for this winter.

 

I will like our chances if the AO drop below -2 verifies.

 

NYC seasonal snowfall totals since 2002 following October daily AO reading below -2:

 

02-03........49.3"

03-04........42.6"

04-05........41.0"

06-07........12.4" plenty of sleet but later blocking lead to cold February with a -6.3 temperature departure

09-10........51.4"

10-11........61.9"

12-13........26.1".....Islip 46.9" with February 2013 blizzard jackpot

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