AvantHiatus Posted September 17, 2014 Share Posted September 17, 2014 We could possibly get a coastal late this coming weekend or early next week. The 12z GFS is well east but the 12z GGEM scrapes the coast and the 12z GEFS mean is coming in similar to the GGEM. The Euro had rain but it was more frontal. Just something to watch in this otherwise borefest. Lol, is it not sub-tropical? Looks like it originates down in the Bahamas mang. 576 line follows the storm, almost always warm-core. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 17, 2014 Share Posted September 17, 2014 This fall so far is a repeat of last year's desert dry pattern, just a bit cooler. With limited to no tropical activity affecting the gulf and east coasts, one would almost expect it to be quiet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted September 17, 2014 Author Share Posted September 17, 2014 It is only a matter of time until the floodgates of active weather open, just getting to that point is a bit tough if you enjoy stormy weather etc. But I would rather have the quiet weather now and then let things start to get active as we head into the fall and winter months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 17, 2014 Share Posted September 17, 2014 Some spots especially west of NYC could hit 80 on Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted September 17, 2014 Share Posted September 17, 2014 With the temperature falling into the upper 40s outside New York City, there were a few areas that saw small patches of fog develop near sunrise. Two photos from this morning: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueSkiesFading Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 Temps are really plummeting in areas with good radiational cooling. Already down to 55 at KMMU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 Continue to eat away at temp departures with recent cool temps now at +1 degree here after today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 This fall so far is a repeat of last year's desert dry pattern, just a bit cooler. With limited to no tropical activity affecting the gulf and east coasts, one would almost expect it to be quiet. Don't worry a storm will hit Florida the first week of October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 Continue to eat away at temp departures with recent cool temps now at +1 degree here after today. One of the challenges will be that we lose 5 degrees off our average highs between today and the 30th. So mid 70s a week from now will be a few degrees above normal. To finish at normal or below we'll need to mostly average low 70s and many nights in the 50s which still remains to be seen which direction we go for the final 7 or 8 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 Feeling summerlike today...one day of cool tomorrow and then weekend warmth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 Anyone noticing how close we are coming to a phase late Sun.-Mon. Play the GFS JavaScript at high rate and it looks like the system along the coast swerves away at last moment from the GL low. This takes place near our latitude/longitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 Anyone noticing how close we are coming to a phase late Sun.-Mon. Play the GFS JavaScript at high rate and it looks like the system along the coast swerves away at last moment from the GL low. This takes place near our latitude/longitude. It's been that way for awhile, the system gets tugged towards OBX initially but the flow is progressive enough that the front kicks things east. Still an outside chance things change. The 12z GGEM has an awesome coastal that retrogrades into NC, sending a firehose of convection into the northeast for the middle of next week. Nice to see but unlikely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 Here is the 12z GGEM, people would kill for this setup in about three months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 Feeling summerlike today...one day of cool tomorrow and then weekend warmth You are right, today is like many days this past summer, especially August which had many September like days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 72/48 with blue skies and some puffy fair weather Cu dotting the horizon for interest. Little to improve on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 Today is still a bit below normal for most sites and even a hotter spot like Newark, which hit 78, is right at normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 Nice diurnal range. Started at 46, 76 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 Today is still a bit below normal for most sites and even a hotter spot like Newark, which hit 78, is right at normal. 78 is the average high at Newark this deep into September? You sure about that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 78 is the average high at Newark this deep into September? You sure about that? I assume that's pretty close as it's still mid September and many averages are still in the 75-78 range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 78 is the average high at Newark this deep into September? You sure about that? 76 but were -1 for the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 78 is the average high at Newark this deep into September? You sure about that? Quickly looked and it's 76. Sorry. I was looking at the wrong thing. Either way, the temps at Newark are pretty close to average today. Perhaps below average because of the low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TonyLovesSnow Posted September 19, 2014 Share Posted September 19, 2014 Tonight's cool front is a tad weaker than I thought it would be. Let's see how we radiate it because my forecasted low was supposed to be 51 and I just don't see that happening tonight. Maybe 53-54. Than again it's still summer. I expect Monday night to be colder than tonight. Where is everyone? Boring weather I know. It'll be like this till November I hope! A warm October is okay look what happened a few years ago when we had snow in October and I think we had another 3 inches of snow for the rest of the winter. That was terrible ruined my year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 19, 2014 Share Posted September 19, 2014 Tonight's cool front is a tad weaker than I thought it would be. Let's see how we radiate it because my forecasted low was supposed to be 51 and I just don't see that happening tonight. Maybe 53-54. Than again it's still summer. I expect Monday night to be colder than tonight. Where is everyone? Boring weather I know. It'll be like this till November I hope! A warm October is okay look what happened a few years ago when we had snow in October and I think we had another 3 inches of snow for the rest of the winter. That was terrible ruined my year Forecast low in the city is 56..still upper 60s now but already 50s in the burbs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TonyLovesSnow Posted September 19, 2014 Share Posted September 19, 2014 Forecast low in the city is 56..still upper 60s now but already 50s in the burbsYesterday my iphone said 51 now it says 54. Regardless this is perfect weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted September 19, 2014 Share Posted September 19, 2014 It looks like the land breeze is creating showers south of Fire Island. Edit: It was the cold front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted September 19, 2014 Share Posted September 19, 2014 It looks like the land breeze is creating showers south of Fire Island. Another good sign for this upcoming winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted September 19, 2014 Share Posted September 19, 2014 Another good sign for this upcoming winter. So true... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 19, 2014 Share Posted September 19, 2014 More of the same easterly flow pattern since the beginning of August today. Here's the days at LGA since 8-1: 8-1...SSE 8-2...ENE 8-3...ENE 8-4...SSE 8-10.SE 8-11.SE 8-12.SE 8-13.SE 8-19.ENE 8-20.SE 8-22.SE 8-23.ENE 8-24.ENE 8-25.ENE 8-26.SSE 8-27.SSE 8-29.SE 8-30.SE 9-5..SSE 9-7..NE 9-8..E 9-9..NE 9-10.NE 9-12.ENE 9-13.E 9-14.NE 9-18.NE 9-19.NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted September 19, 2014 Share Posted September 19, 2014 What a gorgeous day. Low to mid 60s are wonderful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted September 19, 2014 Share Posted September 19, 2014 this wx is better suited for january Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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