1075 replies to this topic

[Typhoon Tip]

PRELIMINARY EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
835 AM EDT MON JUL 02 2012

VALID 12Z FRI JUL 06 2012 - 12Z MON JUL 09 2012

...MONSOON THUNDERSTORMS TO REMAIN A FIXTURE ACROSS THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THURSDAY AND SATURDAY ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PLAINS AND NORTHEAST RESPECTIVELY..
Wiz' is going to take a wiz when he reads this ...

[Wx Hype]

Heard thunder for first time on that cell headed this way

[Typhoon Tip]

Heard thunder for first time on that cell headed this way

these are interesting today. So far, small cores with like 2 pixels that might be well over 50dbz. Nice cloud scapes today, too

[dryslot]

Plenty of cells of the popcorn variety around here today, Quick few minute burst and they are done

[HubbDave]

these are interesting today. So far, small cores with like 2 pixels that might be well over 50dbz. Nice cloud scapes today, too

Clouds are awesome looking today

[NJwinter23]

euro is faster with the shortwave/mcs Wed. morning...entering the area by 12z

[CT Rain]

Yeah I think timing may make the 4th a fail

[Typhoon Tip]

euro is faster with the shortwave/mcs Wed. morning...entering the area by 12z

Wednesday does seem to having timing trouble. Also, the NAM is trying to actually induce a closed circulation at the surface pretty much right over head, and that stops warm sector penetration.

[NJwinter23]

Wednesday does seem to having timing trouble. Also, the NAM is trying to actually induce a closed circulation at the surface pretty much right over head, and that stops warm sector penetration.

Yeah I think timing may make the 4th a fail

Yeah messy trends with regards to that...But still not counting out something interesting even if it comes in the morning

[ETauntonMA]

Nice coastal boundary showing up on BOX Almost all the way back to RT24.
Couple cells popping up just NW of me approaching the RI border.

[NJwinter23]

PRELIMINARY EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
835 AM EDT MON JUL 02 2012

VALID 12Z FRI JUL 06 2012 - 12Z MON JUL 09 2012

...MONSOON THUNDERSTORMS TO REMAIN A FIXTURE ACROSS THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THURSDAY AND SATURDAY ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PLAINS AND NORTHEAST RESPECTIVELY..
Wiz' is going to take a wiz when he reads this ...

How about a derecho from the Dakotas to New england coast Friday morning through Sat night?

[wxsniss]

Sea breeze / coastal boundary seen in temps and radar in past hour:

KBos
11:54pm 81F --> 1:54pm 75F
NNW............ --> .......... ESE

[CT Rain]

Yeah messy trends with regards to that...But still not counting out something interesting even if it comes in the morning

Yeah the GFS is really meh. The NAM has a potent follow up shortwave which would be lots of fun for the afternoon/evening. The timing issue is just as much about getting the follow up shortwave in here quickly.

The NAM, by far, is most aggressive.

[Tropopause_Fold]

How about a derecho from the Dakotas to New england coast Friday morning through Sat night?

have you noticed how everyone is tossing that term around now? it's all over twitter

[Tropopause_Fold]

wow is right:


Ryan Hanrahan ‏@ryanhanrahan
Wow. RT @StuOstro: Breaking: TWC purchases Weather Underground

[Tropopause_Fold]

 nam_hya.png   4.05K   3 downloads

[CT Rain]

 nam_hya.png   4.05K   3 downloads

Where's that from?

[NJwinter23]

have you noticed how everyone is tossing that term around now? it's all over twitter

Yeah its a disaster lol...I knew what we were in for with that term when I was watching sportscenter Sat morning, and the guy who was reporting on the damage at AT&T national called it out.

The 12z euro today does show a very long-lived MCS in that timeframe though. I can dream.

[Tropopause_Fold]

Where's that from?

hya. LOL

[Snowlover76]

wow is right:


Ryan Hanrahan ‏@ryanhanrahan
Wow. RT @StuOstro: Breaking: TWC purchases Weather Underground

Well that sucks big time.

[Tropopause_Fold]

Yeah its a disaster lol...I knew what we were in for with that term when I was watching sportscenter Sat morning, and the guy who was reporting on the damage at AT&T national called it out.

The 12z euro today does show a very long-lived MCS in that timeframe though. I can dream.

oh yeah no i wasn't calling you out at all.

things just always become the flavor of the month. i've seen so many people talking about an MCS and the potential for a derecho to accompany it.

[Tropopause_Fold]

the NAM soundings out here on wed midday are stupid.

[CT Rain]

oh yeah no i wasn't calling you out at all.

things just always become the flavor of the month. i've seen so many people talking about an MCS and the potential for a derecho to accompany it.

That's because the media only cares about something when it hits DC or NY.

[wxsniss]

Terrible news imo...
http://markets.finan...her_Underground


Only a matter of time before the free tools we've grown to love over years become drowned in ads and dumbed down...

Discussion on main forum:
http://www.americanw...nnel-companies/

EDIT: CCWeather just saw your post about same...

[Tropopause_Fold]

Terrible news imo...
http://markets.finan...her_Underground


Only a matter of time before the free tools we've grown to love over years become drowned in ads and dumbed down...

Discussion on main forum:
http://www.americanw...nnel-companies/

EDIT: CCWeather just saw your post about same...

i stole the news from Ryan.

[CT Rain]

Do people use it a lot? I only use the climo data on there and Jeff Master's blog... I find the rest of the site clutter and non-user friendly.

[Snowlover76]

Do people use it a lot? I only use the climo data on there and Jeff Master's blog... I find the rest of the site clutter and non-user friendly.

I use it for the Euro, and their radar. Jeff does have a good blog, and I hope that they let him continue using it.

[Ginxy]

Why would we root for severe Wed? Thursday would be better for all. 4 th phail would be cool.

[Tropopause_Fold]

Do people use it a lot? I only use the climo data on there and Jeff Master's blog... I find the rest of the site clutter and non-user friendly.

same here.

[forkyfork]

Do people use it a lot? I only use the climo data on there and Jeff Master's blog... I find the rest of the site clutter and non-user friendly.

it has awesome euro maps

[NorEaster27]

same here.

I find their radar is the best around, in terms of looking at storms and zooming in on them.

[HubbDave]

I like their radar, and the Euro tools

I also like the meso access

[Typhoon Tip]

How about a derecho from the Dakotas to New england coast Friday morning through Sat night?

Yeah, 2 million still without power and in an area where there is a heat crisis on-going.. .

I recall us mentioning the possibility of a Derecho ("Derechio", to ChrisM) as a threat during that period - I know there's a MCS checklist out there, but I don't know if there is a "derecho" one, per se -

[Tropopause_Fold]

I find their radar is the best around, in terms of looking at storms and zooming in on them.

yeah i know a lot of people use the site. when it comes to RADAR and such i'm almost always using desktop software or an app of some kind. i always forget they have the Euro - every now and then i'll look at their version i guess.

[NJwinter23]

oh yeah no i wasn't calling you out at all.

things just always become the flavor of the month. i've seen so many people talking about an MCS and the potential for a derecho to accompany it.

No worries, I did not take it that way...i completely understand where your coming from with that last statement though. It always annoys the crap out of me when the media gets a hold of one of these weather terms, runs with it...and before you know it its neck deep in the climate change debate.