1001 replies to this topic

[Quakertown needs snow]

New thread since old on hitting 1k.

[MGorse]

I posted in the old thread one more time so I could be the 1,000th post.

[dryslotted]

Digging the looooong days...

[irishbri74]

I posted in the old thread one more time so I could be the 1,000th post.

[MGorse]

Where is the ketchup?

[Parsley]

New thread since old on hitting 1k.

Let me break this sucka in.....

DROUGHT! FLOODING! HEAT WAVE! TROPICAL STORM! FROST!

[tombo82685]

12z euro back off a tad on the intense heat but still looks like wed-sat of 90s with thurs and fri the core with mid to upper 90s possible.

[MGorse]

12z euro back off a tad on the intense heat but still looks like wed-sat of 90s with thurs and fri the core with mid to upper 90s possible.

Yeah, temperatures are a bit cooler now but still hot. It almost looks like it wants to try and bring a backdoor front toward the area Wednesday and Thursday.

[irishbri74]

Where is the ketchup?

Careful what you wish for :-)

[tombo82685]

Careful what you wish for :-)

you can lather his hot dog up on saturday

[MGorse]

Careful what you wish for :-)

you can lather his hot dog up on saturday

I am getting worried here!!

[irishbri74]

you can lather his hot dog up on saturday

How much? Is it a foot long?

[snowlurker]

Yeah, temperatures are a bit cooler now but still hot. It almost looks like it wants to try and bring a backdoor front toward the area Wednesday and Thursday.

If Wundermaps can be believed, the 0Z Euro gives widespread 97-104 on Thursday in the Mid Atlantic from Virginia on up through NYC. Not ready for this...

[tombo82685]

just a little teaser for winter time if you like cold...take with a grain of salt...

[Grothar]

this looks like last winter but not as warm. Look at Alaska again-cold as hell in the winter months. Where the hell is the dark blue and purple for our area? Another early snow event? If I take this with a grain of salt, then I want some pepper too

[tombo82685]

this looks like last winter but not as warm. Look at Alaska again-cold as hell in the winter months. Where the hell is the dark blue and purple for our area? Another early snow event? If I take this with a grain of salt, then I want some pepper too

per that though their is a west based -nao

[Grothar]

This ole fart was right I guess----http://www.erh.noaa....nt_briefing.pdf




Posted Yesterday, 01:39 PM

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• 758 posts
• Joined November 12, 2010
• 0 warning points

• Location:Macungie, PA

79°F
SE @ 3 MPH

Heat begets tropical storms this go around not a drought

[irishbri74]

Yea....

[mattinpa]

Looks like mid-upper 90s for a couple days with a couple more upper 80s - low 90s would be a good early call.

[stormspotterlive]

Looks like mid-upper 90s for a couple days with a couple more upper 80s - low 90s would be a good early call.

agree banking on low 90s for us now but would not be surprised if the models back off on the upper 90s as the trend with the models is to back off a tad closer to major warm ups now. A few GFS ensemble members actually already support operational backing off a tad we will have to wait and see if more show this on future runs. There have also been a few minor indications of a back door cold front in southern new England way to early to tell if models will focus on it more but if they do could be a nice wild card for the NYC folks.

[Parsley]

It's hard for me to get too "excited" about temperatures in the mid-90s, especially after the past 2 summers brought temperatures well over 100 to much of the area.

[Voyager]

I'm all for it and I hope it holds through the weekend. Saturday we will be in Cooperstown NY. I'd like the weather to be dry that day.

[phlwx]

agree banking on low 90s for us now but would not be surprised if the models back off on the upper 90s as the trend with the models is to back off a tad closer to major warm ups now. A few GFS ensemble members actually already support operational backing off a tad we will have to wait and see if more show this on future runs. There have also been a few minor indications of a back door cold front in southern new England way to early to tell if models will focus on it more but if they do could be a nice wild card for the NYC folks.

There is only one model suggesting upper 90's and it historically has a tendency to overdo heat waves from time to time (Euro). GFS is in the mid 90's for WED-THU.

Personally, 93-96 for one if not both days is a reasonable forecast.

[tombo82685]

i forget who brought this up to me at the golf thing today but here is the map of all the member locations. I downloaded photoshop which i lost when my old laptop crashed. So i will use the member map for snowfall maps

https://maps.google....2a7608289&msa=0

[phlwx]

There is only one model suggesting upper 90's and it historically has a tendency to overdo heat waves from time to time (Euro). GFS is in the mid 90's for WED-THU.

Personally, 93-96 for one if not both days is a reasonable forecast.

The Euro has backed off a bit for Wednesday (mid 90's)...still shows a few upper 90's on Thursday.

GFS is 94 and 95 respectively.

My guess would be 95 on Wednesday, 96 on Thursday.

We might not have a heat wave though before all is done...front might slip through late Thursday night to prevent 90 @ PHL on Friday.

This is why seeing some TV types get hypish over "heat waves" is sorta dumb. The 90 degree definition is kinda soft given our average high in July isn't far from that mark. Should be defined as either two or more of 95+ or three straight of 93+...something that can account for magnitude and duration...but not be "cheap" if the three days are 90, 91, and 90 and humidity levels are low.

[Parsley]

Bummer sitting in the clouds all morning. Stubborn to leave too, may take til after lunchtime to get some sun in SE Pa.

[stormspotterlive]

Looks like a chance of storms now with the heat on wed and Thursday more so Thursday. Almost looks like a boundary sets up well out ahead of the front. With High heat and humidity could have some good instability going.

[Parsley]

Sunshine made an appearance after 2pm today. Glad the whole day wasn't overcast. May not be so lucky tomorrow.

[irishbri74]

Well, after the brief heat spike, we start to go back to this:




Sent from my iPad HD

[Voyager]

Well, after the brief heat spike, we start to go back to this:




Sent from my iPad HD

[Parsley]

Well, after the brief heat spike, we start to go back to this:




Sent from my iPad HD

Where the hell was this in the winter?

[irishbri74]

Where the hell was this in the winter?

Europe...

[Parsley]

Europe...

Oh well....

[JCT777]

Once the air conditioning is fixed in my car (should be done by tomorrow - I hope!), then mid-90's temps won't be too horrible. I'd be fine with going back to sub-90's high temps this weekend and next week.

[PSUHazletonWx]

Seconded.