102 replies to this topic

[toad strangler]

I am having trouble finding the 2011 official start and end dates for my area near Vero Beach but below are the most recent data on the onset and ending of the most wonderful time of year in the Treasure Coast area.

Getting there .... dew points / humidity starting the upward climb this week.

Discuss!

Vero Beach area start / end to wet season
2000 - 6/6 - 10/19
2001 - 5/22 - 10/26
2002 - 5/30 - 10/16
2003 - 5/22 - 10/15
2004 - 6/1 - 10/14
2005 - 5/25 - 10/15
2006 - 6/1 - 9/28
2007 - 6/11 - 11/3
2008 - 5/19 - 10/15
2009 - 5/18 - 9/30
2010 - 5/25 - 9/30

Southeast FL historical snapshot (Miami area data from NOAA





Follow this link for a recap of the Dry Season in South FL and the 2012 South FL Wet season outlook.
http://www.srh.noaa....Outlook2012.pdf

[icebreaker5221]

Looks like we're flirting with the 70 deg dewpoint threshold (66-69 recently), and there will be some scattered thunderstorms for much of the state early to mid-week, so it's definitely getting close! However, some drier northwesterly flow later in the week could mean a delay of the true start to the wet season.

[icebreaker5221]

Tallahassee hits the trifecta with a 5% of severe from SPC for today, tomorrow and Wed. Multicell clusters with wet downbursts a good bet.

[toad strangler]

Tallahassee hits the trifecta with a 5% of severe from SPC for today, tomorrow and Wed. Multicell clusters with wet downbursts a good bet.

Radar sure looked like mid summer today. I got hosed with nice storms directly north, south, and west but I was lovin that radar!
Melbourne says ....


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS LIGHTNING STORMS ARE FORECAST THROUGH
MIDWEEK. THESE STORMS WILL AFFECT BOATERS AS THEY CROSS THE
INTRACOASTAL WATERS AND ATLANTIC DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
A FEW STORMS MAY CONTAIN STRONG DOWNBURST WINDS...SMALL HAIL...AND
FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES.


An early official start on hand I am betting my shiniest nickle.

[icebreaker5221]

Radar sure looked like mid summer today. I got hosed with nice storms directly north, south, and west but I was lovin that radar!
Melbourne says ....


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS LIGHTNING STORMS ARE FORECAST THROUGH
MIDWEEK. THESE STORMS WILL AFFECT BOATERS AS THEY CROSS THE
INTRACOASTAL WATERS AND ATLANTIC DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
A FEW STORMS MAY CONTAIN STRONG DOWNBURST WINDS...SMALL HAIL...AND
FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES.


An early official start on hand I am betting my shiniest nickle.

Can't wait for our first true, genuine toad strangler of the season!

[flweathernerd]

Yeah I think we're getting into summer fellas.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
230 PM EDT TUE MAY 8 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN PALM BEACH COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST FLORIDA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF JUPITER...

* UNTIL 300 PM EDT

* AT 229 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR JUPITER...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

THIS STORM IS ALSO CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
JUPITER...
TEQUESTA...
AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.

[wi_fl_wx]

Just got my first "toad strangler" of the year. 3.40" of rain from one storm. Still raining moderately.

[toad strangler]

Just got my first "toad strangler" of the year. 3.40" of rain from one storm. Still raining moderately.

My house got pummeled today and no doubt a strangler at its near finest. I was 30 miles south working today but my wife had the good sense to walk outside as soon as she felt confident that the lightening barrage she cowered under for 20 minutes would not immediately do her in.

[icebreaker5221]

My house got pummeled today and no doubt a strangler at its near finest. I was 30 miles south working today but my wife had the good sense to walk outside as soon as she felt confident that the lightening barrage she cowered under for 20 minutes would not immediately do her in.

First strangler of the season

[bic]

Just had a severe-warned storm roll through here in South Beach and got some decent hail out of it, too! The first hail I've seen on the Beach in about 6 years.

Here's a shot of the storm as it was brewing over North Miami Beach and then a couple pictures of the 0.25-0.75" hail stones that landed on my balcony.

Attached Files

•  photo 1.JPG   83.55K   0 downloads
•  photo 2.JPG   56.7K   0 downloads
•  photo 3.JPG   95.53K   0 downloads

[icebreaker5221]

Just had a severe-warned storm roll through here in South Beach and got some decent hail out of it, too! The first hail I've seen on the Beach in about 6 years.

Here's a shot of the storm as it was brewing over North Miami Beach and then a couple pictures of the 0.25-0.75" hail stones that landed on my balcony.

Nice pics! I'll try to upload some later. It's been a very impressive storm! Someone found a 1" hailstone here on Virginia Key! I got hit in the head by some 0.5".

[icebreaker5221]

SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
GMZ043-053-101545-
/O.NEW.KKEY.MA.W.0107.120510T1512Z-120510T1545Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1112 AM EDT THU MAY 10 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR...
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE
OUT 20 NM...
HAWK CHANNEL FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE OUT TO
THE REEF...

* UNTIL 1145 AM EDT

* AT 1110 AM EDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED FOUR WATERSPOUT NEAR EAST
TURTLE SHOAL LIGHT...MOVING EAST AT 15 KNOTS.

A WATERSPOUT IS A TORNADO OVER WATER THAT CAN BE DANGEROUS AND EVEN
DEADLY. SMALL CRAFT CAN BE SWAMPED OR OVERTURNED BY A WATERSPOUT.
STAY AWAY FROM THEM AT ALL TIMES.

LAT...LON 2481 8075 2462 8067 2462 8101 2472 8101
TIME...MOT...LOC 1512Z 265DEG 16KT 2471 8093

$$
BS

[flweathernerd]

Big time boomer here in Weston. Lots of lightning and very very gusty wind.

[icebreaker5221]

Cells are beginning to align south to north across the east coast metro areas of Miami / Ft Lauderdale / West Palm Beach, with storm motion vectors also south to north. Somebody's going to get some seriously heavy rain today.

[ocala]

Tornado warned cell in south Volusia county at 6:40.

[icebreaker5221]

Tornado warned cell in south Volusia county at 6:40.

That cell is quite the right-mover. Getting close to Kennedy Space Center.

[toad strangler]

Bring it on

http://www.srh.noaa....ySeason2012.pdf

[Chicago Storm]

Not too long ago, but has since expired...

TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1236 AM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
LOWER KEYS IN MONROE COUNTY IN FLORIDA...
THIS INCLUDES THE COMMUNITY OF KEY WEST...

* UNTIL 100 AM EDT

* AT 1230 AM EDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A WATERSPOUT NEAR KEY WEST.
THIS TORNADO WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
THE SOUTH SIDE OF KEY WEST NEAR HIGGS BEACH

[metalicwx366]

Copious amount of rain has fallen right near the coast, just a little offshore from the storms. Those storms are producing 5-8 inches an hour according the radar 1 hour surface accumulation.
Edit: 19.5 almost 20 inches offshore.

[ocala]

Man this the 4th day in a row the northern space is getting slammed.
Going to have to look up some rain totals over there.

[toad strangler]

Man this the 4th day in a row the northern space is getting slammed.
Going to have to look up some rain totals over there.

"Northern Space" ? Please explain (I assume north of you in Ocala)

Wet season in gear .... I have over 5 inches IMBY since the official onset for the S FL general area just 10 days ago

[ocala]

"Northern Space" ? Please explain (I assume north of you in Ocala)

Wet season in gear .... I have over 5 inches IMBY since the official onset for the S FL general area just 10 days ago

The Cape north into Volusia county.
We've only sniffed it up here but we really don't get going until about the 2nd week in June.
In fact it's 61 here with DP's in the low 60's.
Yeah we have a few weeks to go yet.

[MJW155]

I went down to the beach this morning to see the SpaceX rocket launch. It was pretty good. I was about 100 miles away and it looked like a bright orange comet in the sky.

[wi_fl_wx]

Miami International recorded over 7 inches of rain today already. They got 5 from an afternoon storm and another 2+ from another one this evening. The old daily record was 3.44".

[Eyewall2005]

Miami International recorded over 7 inches of rain today already. They got 5 from an afternoon storm and another 2+ from another one this evening. The old daily record was 3.44".

Try 9.70!

[icebreaker5221]

Try 9.70!

It has been exceptionally rainy down here! Diurnal convection and sea breeze storms... plus added moisture from the south courtesy a very unsettled Caribbean... plus enhanced upward motion courtesy of multiple upper lows over the Gulf / Southeast... plus anomalous westerlies forcing convection over the east coast metro... have all come together nicely for an impressive start to the rainy season.

Couple pics of downtown earlier this week:

 120509_012.jpg   76.34K   1 downloads

 120509_017.jpg   74.98K   0 downloads

[toad strangler]

Not nearly as dynamic on the Treasure Coast but a co-worker of mine came out of a Fort Pierce severe yesterday (Tues May 22) with many dents on the hood and top of his Toyota Tundra thanks to 1" hail.

[wi_fl_wx]

Nice photos and analysis, icebreaker. Last year the airport only got 2.15" of rain in all of May and 2" of that fell in one day. If I remember correctly, wet season didn't start until about the 10th of June. Completely different scenario this year--and more rain moving in right now.

[ocala]

South Florida getting slammed again this morning. Pretty soon you guys will have to leave the car at home and take the boat to work.
Some of the models have I94 coming back over NE Florida as 1000MB in the Sunday night through Tuesday time frame. Man I sure hope this happens.

[ocala]

This morning the PWAT in the area was .99. Right now it's 1.89.
Nothing like a good ole SE flow to juice up the atmosphere.
Bring on the rain.

[ocala]

Beryl=Yawn
Next.

[toad strangler]

Confirmed and brief small Florida style tornado touchdown in Port Saint Lucie today just south of me. One roof heavily damaged among stuff being tossed. NWS in Melbourne says 200 yards wide and 65 - 85 mph winds.

[TheTrials]

Confirmed and brief small Florida style tornado touchdown in Port Saint Lucie today just south of me. One roof heavily damaged among stuff being tossed. NWS in Melbourne says 200 yards wide and 65 - 85 mph winds.

u ok?

[wi_fl_wx]

The heat is just horrible in South FL right now. This morning we bottomed out at 77 with a dew point of 74. Only 4 more months of this...

[toad strangler]

The heat is just horrible in South FL right now. This morning we bottomed out at 77 with a dew point of 74. Only 4 more months of this...

I'm lovin it! Although the past two days IMBY have been dry as compared to where you are. I'll take it over the awesome Chamber of Commerce weather in the dry season. Although I like that too ...... but want the rain more. Ahh .... tis a viscous cycle lol.