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March 31st - Potential Wintry Precip (formerly the March Torch Thread)


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#1331
Snowlover76

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Feels like winter outside. It is still very windy .



don't you mean "spring"?

#1332
cold&cloudy

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Whats your current temp & dp down in Sussex??


41 with a dp of 6

#1333
bluewave

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SLK couldn't make it out of the 20's today after hitting 70 degrees 5 days in a row last week.
Apple farmers across upstate NY are worried about their crop tonight.

http://www.bloomberg...-warmth-1-.html



#1334
cold&cloudy

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SLK couldn't make it out of the 20's today after hitting 70 degrees 5 days in a row last week.
Apple farmers across upstate NY are worried about their crop tonight.

http://www.bloomberg...-warmth-1-.html



I have family up there so I follow the weather. Simply a ridiculous swing in temperatures. Forecasted to drop down to 2 F tonight, more than 15 F below average.

#1335
Snow88

  • Metfan4life

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Lights just flickered . Really windy.

#1336
Snowlover76

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Lights just flickered . Really windy.



That's weird, don't the power lines run underground in the city?

#1337
NorEaster27

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That's weird, don't the power lines run underground in the city?

no, only in manhattan

#1338
BxEngine

  • bored warmonger

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no, only in manhattan


Lolwut

#1339
snywx

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32/8 up this way.. wow its dry!

#1340
SnoSki14

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Whoever doubted the temperatures plummeting tonight should strongly reconsider. I'm at 39.6F with a DP of around 10F.

#1341
Snowlover76

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Whoever doubted the temperatures plummeting tonight should strongly reconsider. I'm at 39.6F with a DP of around 10F.


37.6 here.

DP's are really low tonight.

#1342
SnoSki14

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37.6 here.

DP's are really low tonight.


Had it not been for the wind, we might have dipped into the low 20s or even teens here tonight.

#1343
ag3

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Lolwut


A lot of the boroughs have power lines above ground.
Ask Sundog how his area fared after the Queens Tornado a couple years ago.

#1344
Sock Puppet

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Highest gust here is 48, which isn't hard to believe being that I was almost knocked off my bike a couple times during my ride earlier tonight. Not much fun biking against the wind

#1345
ag3

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NYC down to 36.

#1346
Snowlover76

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34.3 here. I think I will get down to 28 tonight.

Tommorow night might be cooler due to radational cooling of we keep the cloud cover away long enough.

#1347
ag3

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Nam raised the lows for NYC from 26-27 to 29-31 for tomorrow morning.
Still has mid 60's for Wednesday.

#1348
snywx

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30/5 up this way... Low 20s is a good possibility

#1349
Snow88

  • Metfan4life

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33 and windy

#1350
forkyfork

  • loathsome human being

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Nam raised the lows for NYC from 26-27 to 29-31 for tomorrow morning.
Still has mid 60's for Wednesday.

we weren't cooling off as quickly as the 12z run showed

#1351
earthlight

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Newark at 35 with a DP of -1. NW 18 and G 35. Pretty impressive.

#1352
BxEngine

  • bored warmonger

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A lot of the boroughs have power lines above ground.
Ask Sundog how his area fared after the Queens Tornado a couple years ago.



I know they do. They also have them underground too.

#1353
Brian5671

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Got down to 27 here...rising nicely now-hopefully not too much damage to the vegetation that has come out...

#1354
Plfdwxdude

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I know its around freezing out but I swear it feels like its 17

#1355
jm1220

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Got down to 27 here...rising nicely now-hopefully not too much damage to the vegetation that has come out...

Probably not. Hopefully it slows the bugs down, though. They were starting to come out last week.

#1356
earthlight

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The NAM is now showing 70 F temps over NJ tomorrow afternoon

Posted Image

#1357
Snow88

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6z gfs has troughiness in the long range.

#1358
earthlight

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6z gfs has troughiness in the long range.


Post 200 hours -- yes. But in the meantime it's actually warmed a good bit for the early part of next week -- shifting the upper level gradient with the ULL over E Canada to the North and now showing 10 C 850 temps through NYC by Day 6-7.

Posted Image

#1359
tornadojay

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I knew lower 20's was a pipe dream in Upton's forecast yesterday.... got down to 29 last night.. I knew there was no way lower 20's was happening. Even Albany only dipped down to 23 last night.. I was thinking 32 in the city, which was what LGA hit, but KNYC got down to 30. When the winds are up, you don't generally get too much temperature variation in the general NYC metro area.

#1360
snywx

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I knew lower 20's was a pipe dream in Upton's forecast yesterday.... got down to 29 last night.. I knew there was no way lower 20's was happening. Even Albany only dipped down to 23 last night.. I was thinking 32 in the city, which was what LGA hit, but KNYC got down to 30. When the winds are up, you don't generally get too much temperature variation in the general NYC metro area.



Dipped to 23.9 here this morning..

KMGJ-- 26
KSWF-- 25

#1361
tornadojay

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Dipped to 23.9 here this morning..

KMGJ-- 26
KSWF-- 25


It looks like pretty much from Orange county north up to Albany was generally in that 23-26 range. The one thing I've noticed where I live in Rockland is when the winds are up at night, I am generally within 2 degrees of NYC temps... almost never fails. If we went clear and calm, completely different story.

One day I want to a study purely on a 12 hour min forecast for my area and see how it verifies. I'm almost willing to bet that more than 75% of the time, it's a bust at least 5 degrees too low.

#1362
tornadojay

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what I'm saying with all of this is that I would like, one day, for Rockland county to be split into 2 zones. Although Rockland county is one of the smallest in NY state, it has a very sharp gradient of weather, especially in the winter. You go from areas like Palisades which is really just a few miles north of the GW bridge to a large area north and west with higher elevations near Bear Mountain and Harriman State Park.

#1363
Plfdwxdude

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Yeah it is interesting, if we had gone calm last night I'm sure the city and immediate area would have only dropped another degree or two, while far N&W would have easily seen teens

It looks like pretty much from Orange county north up to Albany was generally in that 23-26 range. The one thing I've noticed where I live in Rockland is when the winds are up at night, I am generally within 2 degrees of NYC temps... almost never fails. If we went clear and calm, completely different story.

One day I want to a study purely on a 12 hour min forecast for my area and see how it verifies. I'm almost willing to bet that more than 75% of the time, it's a bust at least 5 degrees too low.



#1364
bluewave

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Really warm SST's showing up off the coast after all the heat last week. B)



#1365
blizzardof09

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Really warm SST's showing up off the coast after all the heat last week. B)


I think its a safe bet to say that this summer water temps on the south shore or long island and down jersey may be around 75-80 this summer. The SST's are already a few degrees above average.



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