Jump to content

Photo

The unofficial official absurdly warm for March thread


  • This topic is locked This topic is locked
1689 replies to this topic

#106
Logan11

  • 6,498 posts
  • Joined November 13, 2010

Yeah you got me on the tornado - didn't affect me at all so forgot. And hey a one day thrill, but huge I'm sure for those that were near it.

But the TS didn't do much to excite me. It was largely shot by the time it got up to our latitude after being hyped as a possible hurricane landfall, and just created a huge amount of flooding misery.

Yeah, the tropical storm and 40mi long track EF3+ tornado were pretty boring.



#107
patsrule417

  • adamrivers

  • 518 posts
  • Joined November 12, 2010

Yeah, the tropical storm and 40mi long track EF3+ tornado were pretty boring.


And one has to think with the water much warmer than average....we have a decent shot at another tropical system this summer. When was the last year we saw back to back legit tropical systems?

#108
Typhoon Tip

  • 7,720 posts
  • Joined November 13, 2010

This will end soon enough and end the nonsense of leaf out on April 1st.



Foliage doesn't work like that. Temp alone does not trigger leaf out. Just in the autumn it is miss-conception that temperature causes leaf change.

#109
ski MRG

Foliage doesn't work like that. Temp alone does not trigger leaf out. Just in the autumn it is miss-conception that temperature causes leaf change.


Thank you. I think Blizz still thinks the earth is flat and the moon is made of cheese.

#110
Logan11

  • 6,498 posts
  • Joined November 13, 2010

I should actually root for 60's for the next three weeks to dry out the soil and move on.... To me once it hits 50 and snow chances are gone ....might as well go all thew way and be pleasant and warm. I said warm..not hot. I hate heat.

#111
HubbDave

  • No matter where you go, there you are

  • 24,139 posts
  • Joined November 12, 2010

I should actually root for 60's for the next three weeks to dry out the soil and move on.... To me once it hits 50 and snow chances are gone ....might as well go all thew way and be pleasant and warm. I said warm..not hot. I hate heat.


Thank you
We get it bad enough for May-August...even into September. We don't need to add March and April

Ah well, c'est la vie... we will get another decent winter before one of these dead ratter sreturns

#112
NorEastermass128

  • 1,848 posts
  • Joined November 12, 2010

Posted Image

Sorry, but this is just absurd. It's just wrong and makes you wonder...

#113
Wx Hype

  • Rev Kev

  • 32,416 posts
  • Joined November 12, 2010

85-90 next Monday-Tuesday?

#114
dendrite

  • 12,963 posts
  • Joined November 9, 2010

And so it begins this morning after a cold start. It'll be interesting to see how much MOS is off by. 6z MAV/0z MET highs for today...

BTV 50/49
CON 56/51
PWM 47/48
BDL 58/54
BOS 55/52
PVD 57/52
ORH 54/50
BDR 53/52

#115
Wx Hype

  • Rev Kev

  • 32,416 posts
  • Joined November 12, 2010

And so it begins this morning after a cold start. It'll be interesting to see how much MOS is off by. 6z MAV/0z MET highs for today...

BTV 50/49
CON 56/51
PWM 47/48
BDL 58/54
BOS 55/52
PVD 57/52
ORH 54/50
BDR 53/52

I bet BDL tickles 62 -63

#116
ski MRG

85-90 next Monday-Tuesday?



You are incredibly annoying.

#117
CoastalWx

  • 52,225 posts
  • Joined November 11, 2010

You are incredibly annoying.


If the euro is right Montreal is a lot warmer than us.

#118
dendrite

  • 12,963 posts
  • Joined November 9, 2010

If the euro is right Montreal is a lot warmer than us.

It's crazy how warm the EC ens are early next week. Mean temps in the 70s that far out, this time of year, all of the way up to YUL and IZG is ridiculous.

#119
CoastalWx

  • 52,225 posts
  • Joined November 11, 2010

It's crazy how warm the EC ens are early next week. Mean temps in the 70s that far out, this time of year, all of the way up to YUL and IZG is ridiculous.


It just doesn't seem right lol.

#120
Wx Hype

  • Rev Kev

  • 32,416 posts
  • Joined November 12, 2010

You are incredibly annoying.

Face reality..It bites

#121
Wx Hype

  • Rev Kev

  • 32,416 posts
  • Joined November 12, 2010

It just doesn't seem right lol.

Even BOS could hit 80..Insane

#122
ski MRG

Face reality..It bites



Stop with the early leaf out and 85-90 talk. It's not happening. The facty that you won't make a bet with me is telling and it's going to be glorious when Will wins the bet you foolishly made with him. I hope he trolls you mercilessly. Have you heard from Joe? I PM'd him but have had no response.

#123
Wx Hype

  • Rev Kev

  • 32,416 posts
  • Joined November 12, 2010

Stop with the early leaf out and 85-90 talk. It's not happening. The facty that you won't make a bet with me is telling and it's going to be glorious when Will wins the bet you foolishly made with him. I hope he trolls you mercilessly. Have you heard from Joe? I PM'd him but have had no response.

It is not going to snow again at any of the big 4 climo sites. I don't know what bet with you that you are talking about? Nothing from Joe. He will be back when he is ready I suppose. It's kind if foolish to leave the board over something that had no ill intent

#124
CoastalWx

  • 52,225 posts
  • Joined November 11, 2010

It is not going to snow again at any of the big 4 climo sites. I don't know what bet with you that you are talking about? Nothing from Joe. He will be back when he is ready I suppose. It's kind if foolish to leave the board over something that had no ill intent


I bet ORH isn't done yet.

#125
ski MRG

It is not going to snow again at any of the big 4 climo sites. I don't know what bet with you that you are talking about? Nothing from Joe. He will be back when he is ready I suppose. It's kind if foolish to leave the board over something that had no ill intent



Well, I think Phil went a bit too far and it didn't seem like it was just good natured ribbing. I'm not one to talk though as I told Messenger to "eat sh*t and die" earlier in the Winter.lol You are so going to lose the bet with Will. I've tried to get you to bet against me getting more snow since you declared it was over for me. It's snowed 6 times since you made that bold statement.

#126
CoastalWx

  • 52,225 posts
  • Joined November 11, 2010

Phil didn't go too far at all. How many times have we said " retarded" to describe something. There isn't supposed to be a menacing tone behind it, it wasn't meant to be a personal insult. I wouldn't have left the board just because of that.

#127
Wx Hype

  • Rev Kev

  • 32,416 posts
  • Joined November 12, 2010

Well, I think Phil went a bit too far and it didn't seem like it was just good natured ribbing. I'm not one to talk though as I told Messenger to "eat sh*t and die" earlier in the Winter.lol You are so going to lose the bet with Will. I've tried to get you to bet against me getting more snow since you declared it was over for me. It's snowed 6 times since you made that bold statement.

Like I said yesterday..Your area is not SNE..It's some weird gyre that isn't normal..so I will not bet you on your area..Bet me on the big 4

#128
ski MRG

Like I said yesterday..Your area is not SNE..It's some weird gyre that isn't normal..so I will not bet you on your area..Bet me on the big 4



Will beat me to that bet and I'm a nice guy so I won't pile on. Man, you are going to lose big.

#129
CoastalWx

  • 52,225 posts
  • Joined November 11, 2010

We'll have to watch to make sure Saturday isn't ruined by warm frontal clouds or even showers. Next week is also not set in stone if this high amplitude flow allows for cutoffs to the south like the euro op shows.

#130
mattb65

  • 3,108 posts
  • Joined November 16, 2010

I think the leaf discussion is a little silly, but I actually think Blizz may have a point with an early leaf out. I tried to find some research on what specific environmental cues determine when trees start to send out leafs and flowers. The only thing I found is that it has to follow a prolonged period of cold so that a week of anomolous warmthing in fall wouldn't screw up their cycle. And we're obviously past the point of prolonged cold so any "spring cues" should produce leaf out.

I do know that other plants - notably bulbs like the tulip need temperatures in the 35 F to 50 F range for about 4 weeks in order to reliably grow which is why most of the tulips and other bulbs are out and many daffodils are already near bloom in the CP. However, trees probably have somewhat different physiology than bulbs as far as sending out leaves but I wouldn't be surprised if a prolonged period of warm temps would do the trick. Just looking around here there are many trees that already have their buds out, and a week+ close to 60-70+/35-45 might be enough of a stimulus..

#131
ORH_wxman

  • SNE wx FOCUS

  • 31,285 posts
  • Joined November 9, 2010

Will beat me to that bet and I'm a nice guy so I won't pile on. Man, you are going to lose big.



If he doesn't think its going to snow again in his BY, he normally tries to bring the rest of the region down with him and when he's in winter mode but on the line, he tries to lump himself in with ORH hills like in the 3/1 event when it was pretty clear he'd get sleet bombed.

I feel pretty good about my bet...esp with the ensembles building a bit of a western ridge by 3/25...perfect for short wavelength cutoff season.


Big time torch in the meantime though.

#132
dendrite

  • 12,963 posts
  • Joined November 9, 2010

I think the leaf discussion is a little silly, but I actually think Blizz may have a point with an early leaf out. I tried to find some research on what specific environmental cues determine when trees start to send out leafs and flowers. The only thing I found is that it has to follow a prolonged period of cold so that a week of anomolous warmthing in fall wouldn't screw up their cycle. And we're obviously past the point of prolonged cold so any "spring cues" should produce leaf out.

I do know that other plants - notably bulbs like the tulip need temperatures in the 35 F to 50 F range for about 4 weeks in order to reliably grow which is why most of the tulips and other bulbs are out and many daffodils are already near bloom in the CP. However, trees probably have somewhat different physiology than bulbs as far as sending out leaves but I wouldn't be surprised if a prolonged period of warm temps would do the trick. Just looking around here there are many trees that already have their buds out, and a week+ close to 60-70+/35-45 might be enough of a stimulus..

I assume soil temps play a role as well. It takes consistent warmth to thaw the ground after winter...a few warm days here and there won't cut it. Right now my 6" soil temp is at 32F. However I have a moisture sensor at the same depth and when frozen it will read the minimum of 200cb. Yesterday was the first day where it started spiking up into the mid 100s which is an indication that 6" down is beginning to thaw out. I'd assume by Tuesday afternoon the soil temp will start climbing into the mid 30s and the moisture sensor will begin giving some normal unfrozen readings.

#133
CoastalWx

  • 52,225 posts
  • Joined November 11, 2010

If he doesn't think its going to snow again in his BY, he normally tries to bring the rest of the region down with him and when he's in winter mode but on the line, he tries to lump himself in with ORH hills like in the 3/1 event when it was pretty clear he'd get sleet bombed.

I feel pretty good about my bet...esp with the ensembles building a bit of a western ridge by 3/25...perfect for short wavelength cutoff season.


Big time torch in the meantime though.


Yeah I still think the party begins to end for a time later this month but of course he won't respond to that. I'm with you, I'd be surprise if you lost, but this has been a crazy season. Hopefully it's a 6" paste bomb for you and rain for him....one of those weird cutoffs that has the cold more to the north and east lol.

#134
ski MRG

If he doesn't think its going to snow again in his BY, he normally tries to bring the rest of the region down with him and when he's in winter mode but on the line, he tries to lump himself in with ORH hills like in the 3/1 event when it was pretty clear he'd get sleet bombed.

I feel pretty good about my bet...esp with the ensembles building a bit of a western ridge by 3/25...perfect for short wavelength cutoff season.


Big time torch in the meantime though.



Yep, gross warmth. I noted that Blizz has made the early migration to quoting BDL for temp talk. If only the weather was as predictable.

#135
ORH_wxman

  • SNE wx FOCUS

  • 31,285 posts
  • Joined November 9, 2010

Yeah I still think the party begins to end for a time later this month but of course he won't respond to that. I'm with you, I'd be surprise if you lost, but this has been a crazy season. Hopefully it's a 6" paste bomb for you and rain for him....one of those weird cutoffs that has the cold more to the north and east lol.


April '87 was like that...it had a sharp cutoff in NE CT...he probably had like 4-5" and lots of rain while 17" fell here.

#136
ORH_wxman

  • SNE wx FOCUS

  • 31,285 posts
  • Joined November 9, 2010

Yeah I still think the party begins to end for a time later this month but of course he won't respond to that. I'm with you, I'd be surprise if you lost, but this has been a crazy season. Hopefully it's a 6" paste bomb for you and rain for him....one of those weird cutoffs that has the cold more to the north and east lol.



We could actually see it get pretty cold for a window in early April if we tap into all that bottled up arctic air....I also think we could see our warmest days before any flip.

The cutoffs to the south are kind of annoying for this coming period...hopefully we don't get any since right now it would just mean 44F and rain.

#137
Wx Hype

  • Rev Kev

  • 32,416 posts
  • Joined November 12, 2010

Lol at all the we could get pretty cold. We heard tha bs all winter and what happened. Some of you guys need to give it up. Face reality and move on. Winter ended. Find something else to do

#138
Wx Hype

  • Rev Kev

  • 32,416 posts
  • Joined November 12, 2010

We are entering a 2 week period where more than half the days will be at least in the 70's if not a few warmer days. Let's focus on that and not make pretend cold shots in April when we couldn't get them in winter

#139
ORH_wxman

  • SNE wx FOCUS

  • 31,285 posts
  • Joined November 9, 2010

We are entering a 2 week period where more than half the days will be at least in the 70's if not a few warmer days. Let's focus on that and not make pretend cold shots in April when we couldn't get them in winter



The irony in you saying this is overwhelming, lol.

#140
Wx Hype

  • Rev Kev

  • 32,416 posts
  • Joined November 12, 2010

The irony in you saying this is overwhelming, lol.

Hey you can choose to do what you like. Sure it would be great if we got more snow, but reality says that is not going to happen. In the winter it's all I care about. We lost winter this year. It didn't happen and now that spring is here IMO it's time move on and not try and pull a magic snowstorm and cold shot out of the black hat. I don't know about you but I'd much rather have 70's and sunny in March than cloudy and 45 with mud if it can't snow. I feel very good about my bet. In fact let's go double or nothing if you'd like.





0 user(s) are reading this topic

0 members, 0 guests, 0 anonymous users