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February 2012 Forecast Contest, TemperaturesDue by 11:59PM EST, Tuesday, January 31st.


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66 replies to this topic

#36
DerekZ

  • 53 posts
  • Joined November 12, 2010
°F

DCA: +3.6
NYC: +3.7
BOS: +3.8

#37
LakeEffectKing

  • "He measures snow using telephone poles, except this yr.

  • 1,949 posts
  • Joined November 12, 2010
°F

DCA: +2.0
NYC: +1.6
BOS: +0.7

#38
Blizzard92

  • 321 posts
  • Joined November 13, 2010
°F

DCA: +3.0
NYC: +3.6
BOS: +3.4

#39
BethesdaWX

  • 7,105 posts
  • Joined November 12, 2010
Donator


Edited for lagging:

DCA: -0.5
NYC: -0.5
BOS: -1.0

#40
bkviking

  • 134 posts
  • Joined November 13, 2010
°F

DCA: + 1.1
NYC: +1.8
BOS: +0.7

#41
QVectorman

  • 382 posts
  • Joined December 22, 2010

DCA: +1.5
NYC: +1
BOS: +.5

#42
GD0815

  • 262 posts
  • Joined November 13, 2010

DCA: +2.0
NYC: +1.6
BOS: +1.5



#43
RodneyS

  • 233 posts
  • Joined February 14, 2011
Donator

°F

DCA: +3
NYC: +2
BOS: +1

#44
debeaches

  • 204 posts
  • Joined November 13, 2010
°F

DCA: +4.5
NYC: +4
BOS: +3.6

#45
MN Transplant

  • 3,193 posts
  • Joined November 20, 2010
Donator


View PostMN Transplant, on 30 January 2012 - 12:04 PM, said:

DCA: +1.2
NYC: +1.3
BOS: +1.5


Yeah, who are we kidding here

DCA: +2.2
NYC: +2.3
BOS: +2.5

#46
Midlo Snow Maker

  • AMWX NO SNOW WEENIES FACES

  • 5,078 posts
  • Joined November 9, 2010
Donator

°F

DCA: +3.9
NYC: +3.7
BOS: +3.1

#47
brad1551

  • College "MET" Student

  • 210 posts
  • Joined August 28, 2011
°F

DCA: +2.1
NYC: +1.9
BOS: +1.1
If I could pay Old Man Winter for a snowstorm, I would be taking collections to pay his old but.

#48
forkyfork

  • 3,353 posts
  • Joined November 11, 2010
Donator

°F

dca: +3.1
nyc: +2.6
bos: +1.9

#49
Quakertown needs snow

  • Powder Day, Fernie B.C. 2007

  • 5,356 posts
  • Joined November 12, 2010
Donator

°F

DCA: +2.5
NYC: +1.2
BOS: +0.9

#50
blazess556

  • 529 posts
  • Joined November 12, 2010
°F

DCA: +1.9
NYC: +1.5
BOS: +0.8

#51
Inudaw

  • 742 posts
  • Joined November 12, 2010

View PostInudaw, on 30 January 2012 - 12:47 AM, said:

I'm having trouble with this month. :-/ Sticking with warm.. though but no torch..

BOS: +2.2
NYC: +1.4
DCA: +1.2

Updating. ...
Bos: +3.3
Nyc: +3.0
Dca: +2.8

Semi torch continues lol

#52
nzucker

  • 6,277 posts
  • Joined November 12, 2010
°F

BOS: +4.7F
NYC: +4.3F
DCA: +4.0F

Cumulative: +13.0F

#53
Mallow

  • Here today, wubbing Lisa

  • 2,379 posts
  • Joined November 12, 2010
Donator

°F

View PostInudaw, on 1 February 2012 - 09:28 PM, said:

Updating. ...
Bos: +3.3
Nyc: +3.0
Dca: +2.8

Semi torch continues lol

This forecast would be 20 hrs late. Do you want to go with this and the 20% late penalty? Or stick with the previous forecast at a 0% late penalty?

#54
Inudaw

  • 742 posts
  • Joined November 12, 2010

View PostMallow, on 2 February 2012 - 09:14 AM, said:


This forecast would be 20 hrs late. Do you want to go with this and the 20% late penalty? Or stick with the previous forecast at a 0% late penalty?


:P Go with the original one then. :D This month is really up in t he air. I really thing it will stay warm though.

#55
Roger Smith

  • 469 posts
  • Joined November 12, 2010

After one day,

DCA +23.0
NYC +22.0
BOS +17.0

basically it means what each of us predicts for 2-29 Feb is almost a degree lower than our entries. LOL

#56
Roger Smith

  • 469 posts
  • Joined November 12, 2010

After seven days, which is almost one-quarter of this shortish month ...

DCA +9.1

NYC +8.6

BOS +6.9

no doubt the trend is down from here.

#57
Roger Smith

  • 469 posts
  • Joined November 12, 2010

A few colder days last weekend took a small bite, however we are still way up there at ...

DCA .. +4.7

NYC .. +5.3

BOS .. +4.6

(after 15 days)

#58
Roger Smith

  • 469 posts
  • Joined November 12, 2010

Despite snow in Richmond, the mild days keep coming from all directions ...

DCA +4.6

NYC +5.2

BOS +5.4 (est)

after 20 days

#59
Roger Smith

  • 469 posts
  • Joined November 12, 2010

After a few more warm days (at 24 days) ...

DCA +5.5

NYC +5.9

BOS +6.0

#60
Roger Smith

  • 469 posts
  • Joined November 12, 2010

Final values ...

DCA +5.3

NYC +5.6

BOS +5.6 (confirmed)

Although a dry month, DCA had 1.44" rain out of a total of 2.33" on the 29th.

Boston avoided a snow shutout with 0.9" on the 29th.

#61
hockeyinc

  • 67 posts
  • Joined November 15, 2010

View PostRoger Smith, on 1 March 2012 - 04:09 AM, said:

Final values ...

DCA +5.3

NYC +5.6

BOS +5.6 (confirmed)

Although a dry month, DCA had 1.44" rain out of a total of 2.33" on the 29th.

Boston avoided a snow shutout with 0.9" on the 29th.


I think I won this month. lol

What a sad winter.

#62
Inudaw

  • 742 posts
  • Joined November 12, 2010

Well don't think that's going to help at all. :axe:

#63
PottercountyWXobserver

  • I'd trade my kidney for a 93' redux

  • 1,271 posts
  • Joined November 12, 2010
Donator

°F

Bumpppp. Who is keeping track of the overall standings?

#64
Roger Smith

  • 469 posts
  • Joined November 12, 2010

This continues my alternate (temporary) scoring report, see end of January thread for the details. I have finished scoring January there. This will update both February and total for two months. Late entries in February have an asterisk beside point total for month, the total shown incorporates the penalty. I should mention that in the official scoring, I would expect some of the zero totals to register a few points because of the wider spread relative to normal. That factor might also bump up other scores 10-20 in the middle of the range. Have to wait and see.

Consensus for FEB was an estimate based on median scores.

These are in the order of points for FEB, the annual totals are ranked for top ten only (in brackets).

Forecaster ......... DCA ,,, NYC ... BOS ... Total .... JAN .... JAN+FEB
__________________________________________________________________

Actual ................. 5.3 ..... 5.6 ..... 5.6

hockeyinc ........... 96 ..... 96 ..... 94 ..... 286 ..... 188 ..... 474 (1)
cpick79 .............. 74 ..... 76 ..... 74 ..... 224 ..... -- -- ..... 224
debeaches ......... 84 ..... 68 ..... 60 ..... 212 ..... 222 ..... 434 (2)
Derek Z .............. 66 ..... 62 ..... 64 ..... 192 ..... 188 ..... 380 (4)
MidloSnowMaker.. 72 ..... 62 ..... 50 ..... 184 ..... 194 ..... 378 (5)
goobagooba ....... 72 ..... 64 ..... 44 ..... 180 ..... 210 ..... 390 (3)
nzucker .............. 74 ..... 74 ..... 82 ..... 177* .... 162 ..... 339 (10)
DonSutherland1.. 58 ..... 58 ..... 58 ..... 174 ..... 194 ..... 368 (6)
Blizzard92 ........... 54 ..... 60 ..... 56 ..... 170 ..... 192 ..... 362 (9)
Litchfieldlib'ns .....64 ..... 26 ..... 50 ..... 140 ..... 226 ..... 366 (7)
Mallow ............... 48 ..... 42 ..... 42 ..... 132 ..... 096 ..... 228
forkyfork ............. 56 ..... 40 ..... 26 ..... 122 ..... 244 ..... 366 (7)
MN Transplant .... 38 ..... 34 ..... 38 ..... 110 ..... 166 ..... 276
timp .................... 40 ..... 30 ..... 22 ..... 092 ..... 176 ..... 268
RodneyS ........... 54 ..... 28 ..... 08 ..... 090 ..... 012 ..... 102
ChicagoWX ......... 32 ..... 26 ..... 24 ..... 082 ..... 212 ..... 294

Consensus ......... 30 ..... 24 ..... 20 ..... 074 ..... 160 ..... 234

Brad1551 ............ 36 ..... 26 ..... 10 ..... 072 ..... -- -- ..... 072
GD0815 ............ 34 ..... 20 ..... 18 ..... 072 ..... -- -- ..... 072
Inudaw ............... 18 ..... 16 ..... 32 ..... 066 ..... 240 ..... 306
Candyman CSG .... 20 ..... 26 ..... 18 ..... 064 ..... 184 ..... 248
Ellinwood ............ 28 ..... 16 ..... 16 ..... 060 ..... 184 ..... 244
Ian ..................... 24 ..... 18 ..... 18 ..... 060 ..... 148 ..... 208
hudsonvalley21... 32 ..... 18 ..... 08 ..... 058 ..... 200 ..... 258
tplbge ................ 32 ..... 22 .... 04 ..... 058 ..... -- -- ..... 058
LakeEffectKing... 34 ..... 20 ..... 02 ..... 056 ..... 158 ..... 214
Quakertown nesn..44 ..... 12 ..... 06 ..... 056* .... 172 ..... 228
MariettaWX ....... 15 ..... 17 ..... 22 ..... 054 ..... 076 ..... 130
blazes556 .......... 32 ..... 18 ..... 04 ..... 047* .... 041 ..... 088
Bkviking .............. 16 ..... 24 ..... 02 ..... 042 ..... 170 ..... 212
SD .................... 20 ..... 14 ..... 08 ..... 042 ..... 104 ..... 146
Qvectorman ...... 24 ..... 08 ..... 00 ..... 032 ..... 078 ..... 110
Tom ................... 20 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 020 ..... 162 ..... 182
Uncle W .............. 02 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 002 ..... 278 ..... 280

NORMAL ........... 00 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 000 ..... 012 ..... 012

Roger Smith ....... 00 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 000 ..... 218 ..... 218
Kevin Druff ......... 00 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 000 ..... 162 ..... 162
CT Blizz .............. 00 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 000 ..... 148 ..... 148
BethesdaWX ...... 00 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 000 ..... 129 ..... 129
Pottercounty ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 000 ..... 064 ..... 064
HeatMiser ......... 00 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 000 ..... 056 ..... 056
Feb ................... 00 ...... 00 ..... 00 ..... 000 ..... 050 ..... 050
Snow88 ............ 00 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 000 ..... 016 ..... 016
okie333 ............. 00 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 000 ..... 000 ..... 000
weatherjedi ........ 00 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 000 ..... -- -- ..... 000


Did not play in FEB, scores from JAN

weathafella ........ --- ..... --- ..... --- ..... ---- ..... 226 ..... 226
blizzardof09 ........ --- ..... --- ..... --- ..... ---- ..... 212 ..... 212
PSUHazletonwx.... --- ..... --- ..... --- ..... ---- ..... 212 ..... 212
frivolousz21 ........ --- ..... --- ..... --- ..... ---- ..... 210 ..... 210
Alpha5 ............... --- ...... --- ..... --- ..... ---- ..... 184 ..... 184
showmethesnow.. --- ..... --- ..... --- ..... ---- ..... 136 ..... 136
H20town_WX ..... --- ..... --- ..... --- ..... ---- ..... 120 ..... 120
StatenWx ........... --- ..... --- ..... --- ..... ---- ..... 060 ..... 060
RunawayIceberg. --- ..... --- ..... --- ..... ---- ..... 040 ..... 040
skierinvermont ... --- ..... --- ..... --- ..... ---- ..... 027 ..... 027

#65
hockeyinc

  • 67 posts
  • Joined November 15, 2010

Damn.... I won February and March. Something is wrong here. lol

#66
Mallow

  • Here today, wubbing Lisa

  • 2,379 posts
  • Joined November 12, 2010
Donator

°F

Compiled:
Attached File  febcasts.jpg   100.79K   0 downloads

#67
Mallow

  • Here today, wubbing Lisa

  • 2,379 posts
  • Joined November 12, 2010
Donator

°F

Scores:
Attached File  febscores.jpg   113.26K   0 downloads


Congrats, hockeyinc! I'll have the consensus and normals added in later.


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