Baroclinic Zone Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 Well there is a system progged to move up the coast for Friday. It looks like mostly a southern stream s/w. There are still timing differences with this. The GFS/GGEM combo look warm for most while the Euro offers up a wintrier solution. Given the timeframe, I'd probably lean towards the Euro on the thermal profile. Link to where Tip started the overnight discussion last night in the other thread if you want to catch up on the overnight model runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 I'm confused... how does this torch on the NAM look wintry at all? I honestly haven't been watching the models at all ... an I just saw 06z Nam and its a snowpack killer with mosquitos flying around the puddles after word... Can anyone shed a light on this one for me? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 I honestly haven't been watching the models at all ... an I just saw 06z Nam and its a snowpack killer with mosquitos flying around the puddles after word... lol Wow. And how the once ever-so-faithful have given up hope. Even the once snow hungry snowNH has been taken under the spell of the torch winter of 2011/12. Such a sad turn of events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 If i could, I would like to lock up the next 10 days on the 00z euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 If i could, I would like to lock up the next 10 days on the 00z euro Yea Jeff the Euro nails you guys very well, even the GEFS are oh so kind. Who will cave? Amerigarbage versus euro trash once again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 Yea Jeff the Euro nails you guys very well, even the GEFS are oh so kind. Who will cave? Amerigarbage versus euro trash once again. I am kind of into the foreigners Steve..........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 Why is this only a NNE thread when CNE and SNE are going to have some wintry precip from it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 Why is this only a NNE thread when CNE and SNE are going to have some wintry precip from it? Probably should be more of a question for Bob seeing he started the thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 Why is this only a NNE thread when CNE and SNE are going to have some wintry precip from it? no its a torch for CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 no its a torch for CT Sorry but no it's not..The Euro will win again. And I don't know if you've ever gotten a forecast right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 I'm confused... how does this torch on the NAM look wintry at all? I honestly haven't been watching the models at all ... an I just saw 06z Nam and its a snowpack killer with mosquitos flying around the puddles after word... Can anyone shed a light on this one for me? >>implying the nam is useful past 24h Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 >>implying the nam is useful past 24h Yeah, The Nam is sometimes not even useful inside 24 hrs, Its out of its usefullness right now so i would not use it for anything other then guidance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 lol Wow. And how the once ever-so-faithful have given up hope. Even the once snow hungry snowNH has been taken under the spell of the torch winter of 2011/12. Such a sad turn of events. I just find this board extremely difficult to follow at times. It seems like this year, more than ever, we have like 10 different threads going on at once with people posting about the same storm in each of them... Its tough to look at models at work and Then I'm relying on peoples posts about this storm and some.are saying its a NNE event and then Kevin saying its wintry precip to CT.. which one the hell is it? What models give wintry down to CT? I'm just confused cause I see nothing but rain at a quick glance from now u til next week.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 Sorry but no it's not..The Euro will win again. And I don't know if you've ever gotten a forecast right lol easy there killer. if it breaks wrong it could be a torch up here, in which case you're probably not going to have much better luck in CT. Right now I'm hedging for a snow to mixed event up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 I just find this board extremely difficult to follow at times. It seems like this year, more than ever, we have like 10 different threads going on at once with people posting about the same storm in each of them... Its tough to look at models at work and Then I'm relying on peoples posts about this storm and some.are saying its a NNE event and then Kevin saying its wintry precip to CT.. which one the hell is it? What models give wintry down to CT? I'm just confused cause I see nothing but rain at a quick glance from now u til next week.. Considering the posters, do you really have to ask? Its very easy to figure out given the different agenda's each poster seems to have. Does it surprise you that Etaunton said CNE/NNE and CT Blizz said otherwise? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 Big improvement on the 12 z NAM. Matt Noyes calling for return to winter in his latest blog Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 Farmers Almanac says blizzard last couple days of the month. Haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 I am kind of into the foreigners Steve..........lol Parle vous a humma humma? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 CT Blizz may be right... SNE north of the Pike may be ok in this with wintery precip. Weenie RSM model (joke) shows sleet/rain up to about I-90 along the CT/MA border. Most of MA gets snow or sleet in that solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 What is SNE north of the pike? I basically thought anything north of the pike was CNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 While most likely a very cold rain south of the pike..many in SNE are going to see snow/ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 12z Nam would be a mix to rain here but out at 84hrs, Take it for what its worth.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 Yeah 12z NAM is looking better for CNE and still NNE... remember this is where the H85 freezing line ends up... most of this QPF would be wintery/white in SNH and SVT, then the warm mid level air blasts north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 While most likely a very cold rain south of the pike..many in SNE are going to see snow/ice Haha I honestly haven't seen enough to make an opinion on that. RSM is an awful model and I was just using that to get a response out of you. I expected something better out of you! Like, screw north of the Pike this is snow all the way to Libations I do think this may start trending southward enough so that we are just on the NW fringe of any meaningful precipitation. Things have been going colder over the past two weeks than they look 3 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 12z Nam would be a mix to rain here but out at 84hrs, Take it for what its worth.. I don't know man... SWFE climo... I think you get more wintery and then right at the tail end flip to something more wet. I take that NAM run as at least a couple inches snow/sleet for you before some light rain. I think that's a net gain for you and Jayhawk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 The storm is far away. I don't know why anyone in their right mind is making calls, because it just proves they are full of it. Climo is something like burst of heavy snow to mix for interior sne, snow if its a colder swfe or even mix to rain for CP sne if its a warm swfe. NNE is usually buried with jackpots of just short of a foot with the most snow the further NE you go. Right off the bat anyone on the CP should be somewhat negative on this storm climo imho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 I don't know man... SWFE climo... I think you get more wintery and then right at the tail end flip to something more wet. I take that NAM run as at least a couple inches snow/sleet for you before some light rain. I think that's a net gain for you and Jayhawk. Yeah, SWFE can be very rewarding here as seen last week, The euro's thermo profile was better for here, Have not looked at very much model output the last 2 days as been extremely busy here at work so just getting into some of it now, But looks like the next 10 days has some chances anyways, I see net gains possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 While most likely a very cold rain south of the pike..many in SNE are going to see snow/ice Blizz throws in the towel uh oh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 Haha I honestly haven't seen enough to make an opinion on that. RSM is an awful model and I was just using that to get a response out of you. I expected something better out of you! Like, screw north of the Pike this is snow all the way to Libations I do think this may start trending southward enough so that we are just on the NW fringe of any meaningful precipitation. Things have been going colder over the past two weeks than they look 3 days out. What the heck is the RSM? New one for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 What the heck is the RSM? New one for me. Real Suckish Model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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