The NAO looks to remain nuetral to positive. I don't think dry troughiness over the GLs is a lock with only the EC cashing in. HM commented that the models are likely going to struggle. If you said a strong -NAO with a +PNA then I would agree with the dry troughiness the lakes.
+PNA/-EPO pattern means nice cold (maybe "colder" is more apposite term? PV locked up north of 60 so it doesn't really look that cold) dry troughiness over the lakes with the EC possibily cashing in on a stormier pattern. FML.
I hear suicide is painless, and it brings on many changes.
I still think we will see some good chances coming up.
The 6Z GFS (no I don't trust it) showed nice system around hour 168 and it is tracking similar to what we have been seeing.